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Calling Balls and Strikes Correctly (Without Robots)

Umpires aren't perfect. Nor do they pretend to be. Nobody disputes this fact - blown calls are currently part of baseball. I can't imagine that many people think that this is a good thing, either, despite the outcry over the possible dehumanisation of the game that comes with instant replay and (horror) the possibility of computers calling the strike zone. Getting a call wrong while arbitrating the highest level of competition of a major professional sport simply cannot be a good thing. Umpires may be right 95% of the time, but we are capable of improving that, and it seems to me that we probably should.

Calling for an end to umpires is not a reasonable answer, though. The men behind the plates screaming for balls and strikes have become so entrenched that the sport would seem frankly silly without them. I trust pitch f/x, but not to the point where I want to see a monitor behind the plate calling balls and strikes. And I'm not even a baseball purist. Grown men start foaming at the mouth over suggestions like doing away with umpires to get the call right, or instituting replays on questionable calls, and guess what? The people who think that way are the ones who matter.

Fortunately, "robots" is shorthand not for "we want robots to make the calls" but "we would like greater accuracy from the people making the calls". There are ways of increasing accuracy without compromising 'the human element', or slowing the game down for replays. Here's an idea: pitch f/x as a tool for umpires, rather than being the judge and jury of ball/strike calling.

How? Well, home plate umpires already wear masks. This gives us a really easy way of giving them quick information without compromising whatever else they're focusing on. Frame their field of view with LEDs, throw a wireless receiver in there, and a lightweight battery. Now write a program that takes pitch f/x data, translates it into ball/strike/borderline (i.e half a ball diameter off the black) calls, and transmit it to the umpire in real time. You could do this with minimal lag - I doubt anyone would notice the difference if umpires reacted solely to the colours the inside of their masks flashed at them. But the beauty of this plan is that they wouldn't be reacting solely to the colours. They could use their own judgment on borderline calls, they could request that their strike zone be different with lefties and righties, etc etc etc. They could use pitch f/x as a guide to help them call the strikezone as they see fit.

Who does this hurt?

The fans wouldn't notice, and they wouldn't have to be upset over as many blown calls. Pitchers would see a more consistent zone, as would hitters. Umpires would still have freedom to call their own strike zone, and I think they'd be happy to have a tool that improved their accuracy. We'd still see zones widened on 3-0 counts and we'd see pitchers throwing perfect games be given the benefit of the doubt.

This would not be a difficult thing to do. I'm pretty sure that given a month with a pile of electronics and a computer being fed data from the pitch f/x source I could rig up a prototype mask that would do exactly as I've described above. With the resources MLB has, it would be simple to get something like this plan set up for trials in next year's AFL.

The heart of baseball - calling balls and strikes - could be officiated better for not much more cost and without taking away from the beauty of the game. Why not give it a shot?

Comment 57 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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I don't know.

I would absolutely love it if Robot Umpires made calls. “You have, THREE, strikes and, TWO, balls. You are, OUT. There are, THREE, outs. MARINERS, are up in the, BOTTOM, of the, NINTH, inning.”

...and now I'm here

by CapSea on Oct 17, 2009 2:08 PM PDT reply actions  

This amuses me throughly,

but rather than Speak n’ Spell or whatever I imagine a very pleasant female voice, like if you’re trying to get your bank account balance over the phone.

by Zwakamatsu on Oct 17, 2009 4:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm hoping the basic voice is female, but the fill in words are male.

Female: "You have,_______, strikes and, ,_______, balls. You are, ,_______. There are, ,_______, outs. ,_______, are up in the, ,_______, of the, ,_______, inning."

Male: THREE, TWO, OUT, MARINERS, BOTTOM, NINTH

Also, I hope the male voice is the guy from MLB Power Pros that yells out “IBANEZ!” really excitedly before it says “grounds out to first.”

...and now I'm here

by CapSea on Oct 17, 2009 5:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

I support this idea.

Maybe we could replace announcers with the announcers in the MLB video games when they first started using the fill in the blank method.

by Zwakamatsu on Oct 17, 2009 5:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

I love the idea of a compromise such as this.

In a perfect world I would like pitch f/x used exclusively, but we are a long, long way from that being a realistic occurrence. It’s never been the borderline ball/strike calls that bother me; it’s the “oh my God are you serious that was a foot in/outside” calls that are the problem. I’m okay with a pitch a shade off the black being strike three; I am not okay with a pitch in the opposite batter’s box being strike three.

by Aaron Campeau on Oct 17, 2009 3:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Instant Replay

It seems to me that instant replay should be very easy to integrate into baseball without delaying the game really at all and without making umpires upset. However, instead Bud Selig chose to integrate it with HR calls in such a way as to delay the game as much as possible and so that it couldn’t effectively be extended to other types of plays.

What he should have done is as follows. Add an extra member to every umpire crew (more jobs makes umpires happy). Then have this guy (or rotate them like normal) sit up in a special booth with assistants that each club would provide. This booth will be equipped with replay access similar to broadcasters. Then wireless give all the umps on the field a way to communicate with this ump in the booth real time.

Generally speaking within about 20-30 seconds or so of a bad call being made that the manager comes out to argue, the broadcasters have whether it was a good call or not. No reason the extra ump with assitants wouldn’t be able to have it that fast as well. So about the time the manager gets out there to argue, the ump on the field would know if the call was correct or not and will be able to uphold it or not accordingly. The manager (on both sides), would then have absolutely nothing to argue about. Regardless of what they think, the correct call would have been made then and they’d know it. This would actually save some time as arguments between managers and umps would be really short, probably most of the time something like “manager: hey…. (interrupted). ump: already got the word, it was a correct call. go sit down”. And on the flip side of that, if the call was changed, the opposing manager would have nothing to argue about, because the change would have been made because of the instant replay showing the call was wrong.

There is always potential that managers might then abuse this and come out and argue more calls then they would have otherwise, however rules could be put in place on how many calls a game could be argued or things like that. Again, given how quick the decisions would be made, the delay would be so short that you could allow quite a few. And during most games, there really is generally only a couple times a game these types of situations come up.

I think umps would be happy with this system because they get more jobs. They also retain the ability to call things as they see them the vast majority of the time and the one or two times a game they have to go to instant replay, they get the satisfaction of knowing the correct call was made and the game wasn’t really delayed much at all. The ump behind the plate could also get feedback on how their strike zone is looking and what not during the game. They’d like this too, as umps get graded on this stuff and in the end, they do want to call the game perfect every time (most of them anyways ;-).

Or as the above article indicates on the ump behind the plate they could give them a little screen to show them the pitch f/x data. On that method, I’d be worried about a ball hitting the umps mask and shattering the screen so close to the umps eyes though. That would have to be figured out.

by hiskeyd on Oct 17, 2009 3:09 PM PDT reply actions  

Nobody with any sense argues balls and strikes.

Or it’s a quick exit.

Replays might work as you suggest for calls on the bases or catches in the outfield – although I’m sympathetic to the argument that they’d make an already slow game too much slower* – but Graham’s suggestion is about calling balls and strikes better. I don’t see how your answer relates to this.

*Counterpoint: First class cricket has successfully implemented a video umpire for reviewing close calls; and that’s a game that takes five days to play.

Danny Blanchflower Lives!

by Colm on Oct 17, 2009 4:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Or they could just keep it as it is...and life goes on.

And the game remains the same game we’ve loved and hated for years.

by sirbrianwilson on Oct 17, 2009 8:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree with you.

Isn’t owning black people sweet?

...and now I'm here

by CapSea on Oct 17, 2009 8:14 PM PDT up reply actions   7 recs

Thinking about it

this was a dangerous comment to rec.

Fuck Anaheim.

by Eyeball Kid on Oct 17, 2009 9:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's dumb

If we have the capacity to make the game better we should.

by OlSalty on Oct 17, 2009 8:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wait..I thought we were talking about "making the game better"...?

I must have missed that somewhere.

Sarcasm aside. Human error in umpires IS part of the game. Why change it? I’m a baseball purist and Graham isn’t. He stated it in his post and I respect that. No need to point fingers at an opposing opinion. The question is, if we adopt some new umpiring technology, where does it end? What becomes justified and what remains “pure”?

That’s all I was bringing up…

br

by sirbrianwilson on Oct 17, 2009 10:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

This is a slippery slope that doesn't exist.

Using PITCHf/x to help call balls and strikes is not going to lead to the game being played entirely by machines.

by BrianL on Oct 17, 2009 10:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Again, this argument is just totally not based in reality.

“Where does it end?” is not a rational argument. It “ends” when the correct calls are being made as often as the current technology allows.

by Aaron Campeau on Oct 17, 2009 10:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

"Human Error in umpires" doesn't have to be part of the game, though

And what does this have to do with a robot being able to pitch faster than a human? This is about improving accuracy in human judgement, because we all know how inherently flawed that can be….not about improving the speed at which a pitcher pitches.

So this has nothing to do with the point you’re bringing up….

by OlSalty on Oct 17, 2009 10:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Human error isn't in the rulebook.

It doesn’t say “the strike zone should change occasionally for no reason based on whether the umpire decided he liked the pitch more.” In this case, the goal of robots is to help play the game by the rules. It’s not an invitation to change baseball.

...and now I'm here

by CapSea on Oct 18, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Approves of this idea:

FUCK THE ANGELS! FUCK THE ANGELS! FUCK THE ANGELS!

by Goose on Oct 17, 2009 3:14 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Go with robots

I want to see Lou Piniella kicking sand at a Terminator umpire!

Danny Blanchflower Lives!

by Colm on Oct 17, 2009 4:02 PM PDT reply actions  

A less complicated idea

How about just an earpiece inside the mask that makes one sound for a ball and a different sound for a strike. It would be very easy to tie it in with a computer running pitch/fx, using a wireless earpiece and battery as already mentioned.

Nobody but the ump would hear it, and this would intrude less on the ump’s field of vision.

by DaCheez on Oct 17, 2009 4:43 PM PDT reply actions  

Another benefit

I am on the more traditional side of baseball fandom, preferring all-human call making and no replay appeals. However, I like this idea because it doesn’t add interruptions or remove a human from the role of arbiter. (My old fashioned ways are limited to watching the game. I am all for the analytic revolution slowly occurring in a few front offices.)

I think this proposal would create a more uniform strike zone, a great thing that might not be possible without some high tech aids.

"The holy grail is to spend less time making the picture than it takes people to look at it." -Banksy

by two_hands on Oct 17, 2009 8:40 PM PDT reply actions  

So the umpires are told what is a ball and what is a strike.

Then they make their own decisions? It seems like they would, on pride, ignore the whole system.

by lailaihei on Oct 17, 2009 10:59 PM PDT reply actions  

...
ball/strike/borderline (i.e half a ball diameter off the black)

by Matthew on Oct 18, 2009 7:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

The umpires are told what is a ball and what is a strike

Under their own definition of the strike zone and are given leeway to make borderline calls. I’d like to also think that people prefer that they be better at their job than worse, because that is where pride lies.

by Graham MacAree on Oct 18, 2009 7:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

what about and electronic tablet?

I think an electronic touchscreen/tablet could also work really well. Simply replace the clickers he uses to count balls and strikes with a tablet that he has that can display the pitch/fx stuff graphically so an umpire has the option of comparing how he thought a ball broke directly with how the pitch/fx did.
You could also have an electronic copy of the rulebook on there in case there ever needs to be a clarification/explanation. It wouldn’t have to be very large (I’m thinking kindle sized) and might be more receptive by the umpires if it has a nice GUI.

by gumbostu on Oct 18, 2009 10:35 AM PDT reply actions  

Make the prototype

Introduce the prototype at lower levels of play, and it will make it’s way up to the upper levels. If you really can do it, get it patented and get rich. I really like your idea, and I hope you back up your proposal with a product. Keep us posted!

by micahjr on Oct 18, 2009 10:59 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Grade them

Why not just get ruthless in grading the umps with the same exact technology? Grade every pitch pass/fail for every game that they ump. Give them the benefit of the doubt on borderline calls but force them to review every game that they sit behind the dish, pitch by pitch.

As a reward, divvy up post season gigs based on the officiating crews that graded out the highest. As a penaltly, be Jack Welch harsh and fire the 10% worst individual performers every year. It would not take long for the quality to get very, very good. Strike zone variance would disappear. Natural selection, baby.

by MtGrizzly on Oct 18, 2009 11:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Because they have a union

and a pretty testy one at that.

Danny Blanchflower Lives!

by Colm on Oct 18, 2009 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think there are limits to how well a human being can be expected to do, though

Those balls go very fast and have lots of late movement, and they have to make a call based on the fraction of a fraction of a second when that ball crosses the plate. The human eye can be deceived, or memory can recall an event inaccurately if it doesn’t have a whole lot of sensory information to work with. And your brain has a tendency to fill in sensory information you are missing on it’s own which is completely fabricated just so it can make sense of the event. Human cognizance is inherently flawed in general, no matter who you put out there.

And those umps probably got to where they are because they were more accurate than most at making these calls. I mean, you might see some improvement if you weeded out the worst umpires but no matter who you put out there occasionally they are gonna make a mistake because they are human and fallible.

I’d personally rather just make their job a whole lot easier and give them access to pitch f/x data in real time, like Graham is suggesting. No more arguments, have proof that you made the call right and everyone gets the calls they deserve for the things they do on the field.

by OlSalty on Oct 18, 2009 11:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

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