Oh Gross
Let's forget for a moment that this was Morrow's fifth Major League start and go back to the checklist I wrote up before his first:
(1) High-90s fastball
Nope. Morrow threw 75 fastballs tonight, and only one of them clocked in higher than 96 (96.3). By comparison, he threw 25 under 93, and registered an overall average of 93.5. Assuming there's nothing wacky going on with the PITCHf/x data, Morrow didn't have the same heat he was flashing all the time against the Yankees. Not even particularly close. This was a lot more along the lines of what I was anticipating before he went and gave my bar of expectations a swift kick in the crotch. This was his bullpen fastball minus a few expected miles for the transition. Predictably, it wasn't as good.
(2) Sustained velocity
Check, sort of. Where Morrow trailed off towards the end of his last start (presumably due to the unprecedented pitch count), today he fought through an early lull and averaged 93.9 on his fastball in the fifth inning. Of course, his average was 92.2 in the third and his final fastball of the night came in at a hair over 90, so he wasn't perfect, but for the most part he did manage to finish with ~as much heat as he had when he started.
(3) 30% offspeed stuff
Check. 34%. Of Morrow's 114 pitches tonight, 15 were sliders, 13 were changeups, and 11 were curveballs. That's still a little Felixy, so it's not ideal, but for a pitcher in Morrow's position who's so frequently trying to battle back from behind in the count, 34% is pretty good. That suggests either a fair bit of confidence on Morrow's part in his offspeed pitches, or a commitment to getting better no matter the immediate consequences. I'll take it.
(4) Changeup to lefties
Check, sort of. Morrow threw 78 pitches to left-handed batters tonight, with 13 of them being changeups. That's not phenomenal, but it's okay, considering he also threw 10 curveballs. The problem is that his changeup just sucked. Suck-diddly-ucked. Of his 13 changeups, ten were balls and none were missed. He threw it, and the intentions were there, but it just wasn't working in the least. This weapon will very obviously require a whole lot of work.
(5) Efficiency
Heavens no. 114 pitches, five innings, 4.4 pitches per batter. Only seven of 26 plate appearances lasted fewer than four pitches, and only six of them started with a strike. Video of this game would be like Red Asphalt for pitching coaches. This was five consecutive innings of the Mediocre Morrow that at times drove us so crazy out of the bullpen.
If you'd have asked me back in March to predict what Morrow would look like as a new starter, this is the sort of game I probably would've described. His fastball velocity didn't carry over all that well, he couldn't throw many strikes, and his offspeed stuff was interesting but incredibly raw. The only real difference - and this is encouraging - is that 20 of Morrow's 26 breaking balls were strikes, five of the swinging variety. The break wasn't always consistent, and the location wasn't always where he wanted it to be, but he was able to find the zone, which is a plus. On a night when he couldn't control his fastball or changeup, I don't even want to imagine how ugly this could've gotten had the breaking balls bailed on him too. Bless their loyalty.
Maybe some of Morrow's struggles tonight were a byproduct of his high pitch count from last time. I don't know. It wouldn't surprise me if that played a part. But overall I think the take-home message is that it's going to take a lot of work before you can pencil Morrow's name into the top of the rotation. Which pretty much all of us already expected, but I know after New York we were hoping for a miracle, and at this point that doesn't look likely. So Morrow's going to have to work his ass off to get there instead. Cross your fingers that he's up to the task. The world always needs more of that kind of talent. And God knows so do we.
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Comments
Morrow's self-awareness is remarkable.
Brandon Morrow had shakier command of his fastball today than his breaking stuff. Somewhat of a reverse from his previous time out. He said he was "flying open’’ mechanics-wise on the mound all night.
"With spring trainings and stuff next year, I’ll just be able to work,‘’ he said. "Bullpens and stuff are so crucial.’’
by ThundaPC on Sep 27, 2008 12:26 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
The last part of that blog means all is hopeless for the future of this team...
Sorry if this is a hijack, but with the whole Larson thing not happening, my depression with this team has hit an all-time low. I doubt a new GM will get anything done with these intrusive owners “Don’t get rid of Washburn, I like him”. Fuck this team!
by basebliman on Sep 27, 2008 11:51 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
By deciding to feel this way, you're being a defeatist for no good reason.
J.K.L.
by acblue on Sep 27, 2008 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have a good reason. Did you see the team they put out this year?
The team all of them thought would compete for a title. Granted none of us thought they’d be this bad, but it just shows their philosophy is wrong. I know Bavasi was ultimately the one putting the roster together, but they stood firmly behind him until May. Anyway, I hope I’m wrong and whoever they hire will get to make the moves he or she wants to make with no meddling from Chuck and Howie unless it’s stricly related to going over their payroll, not about cutting it by getting rid of an overpaid veteran. Again I REALLY HOPE that I’m wrong. Maybe it’s because of the rumor of Larson buying this way to CEO in the first that I’m so dejected. Fuck the rumor mill!
by basebliman on Sep 27, 2008 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They've put out good teams too.
J.K.L.
by acblue on Sep 28, 2008 6:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Don't get rid of Washburn"
Only happened because they’re saving all the moves (including what to do with Erik Bedard) for the new GM.
The Interm GM was not going to get much leeway anyway.
I don’t see where the loss of hope is coming from. The Lincon/Armstrong tandem has been stressing that they need new ideas in the company and that they realize the fans want them hung at this point.
by ThundaPC on Sep 27, 2008 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Morrow: most mis-managed pitcher ever?
Just on the face of it seems ridiculous to “stretch him out” like this in this, the Lost Season. He should be on a tight, 90-pitch leash, imo. actually, his first great start, as exciting as it was, might have retarded his development for the rest of the season, though it did show us the kind of talent we’re dealing with. I know the pitch count case hasn’t been made definitively, but if it makes sense at all, it would be for a young arm starting for the first time in the majors, don’t you think?
by flightrisk on Sep 27, 2008 2:02 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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