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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

This Is What Peoria Looks Like

I think everyone understands that it's been a bit of a grind for JJ. He hasn't been right all season long, and when I say "all season", I really mean all season - the last time he felt anywhere close to 100% was the first day of April. Since then it's been a tedious, difficult slog of a year, as he's encountered hurdle after hurdle while trying to pitch himself back into form.

What's been interesting to me is watching him try to pitch his way back at the Major League level. This isn't something you see very often, but in a season pulled straight from a box of Instant Nightmare, it's not like the Mariners have had anything to lose, so for the most part they've let JJ get out there and plug away. And plug away he has, with mixed results.

It's weird when you see someone lose what made him successful almost overnight. At first he'll try going back to the well to see if he can summon old ability, but if that doesn't work, then you'll see him start to experiment. I think this is the stage that JJ presently occupies. Having struggled with his fastball and splitter command all summer, the old combination wasn't working on its own, so recently we've seen him toy with a curveball that he previously abandoned a few years ago. I'm guessing the idea here is to try and refine another pitch just in case one or two of the other ones aren't working.

It's not a very good pitch. Right now, anyway. He threw a good one to Garret Anderson last night, but that's been far from the norm, as not only is it loopy and soft, but he also can't control it for beans. Which pretty much just gives him a fourth pitch he can't locate. It makes him a different pitcher to watch, but it doesn't make the watching any less difficult. It's hard when someone you used to hold in higher esteem than all others loses faith in his strengths.

Don't get me wrong, there is a little upside. Pitch variety is important, and if JJ were somehow able to come out of this with another reliable weapon, then more power to him. It's just that...this is Spring Training stuff that we're seeing, because the curveball is nowhere near as good as JJ wants it to be, and after the last few seasons, watching JJ pitch like this makes me uncomfortable. I hate thinking that someone can go from untouchable to unreliable this quickly, but if we've learned anything from this season, it's that everybody can disappoint. And the uncertainty I feel about JJ going forward just kills me inside.

I want JJ to get better. I need JJ to get better. But at this point I'm not sure of anything anymore. All I really know is that if this offseason doesn't cure what's ailing him, then I'm going to be one sad panda.

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I've had the feeling that its been a rather serious arm injury all along

Because from what I heard, JJ thought the team made way to big of a deal out of his costochondritis.

by Robert on Sep 26, 2008 11:59 AM PDT reply actions  

I hate thinking that someone can go from untouchable to unreliable this quickly

Hence the importance of identifying cheaply-available bullpen talent. Because it seems to happen to relievers all the time. Eric Gagne told me so.

by Lents Park Homer on Sep 26, 2008 12:19 PM PDT reply actions  

What's different

I know what you mean about him losing command. But doesn’t it seem like he has lost velocity as well? Not a good sign. On the other hand, doesn’t Putz’s recent performance sorta remind you of the last time he was not 100% after some injuries in spring training a few years ago? He seemed to bounce back from that.

Perhaps I am seeing this through rose colored glasses, but is it entirely unlikely that he comes back to his dominant self after an offseason to rest?

by Jerry on Sep 26, 2008 4:41 PM PDT reply actions  

In order:

(1) Yes, it does, as addressed below; Putz isn’t topping out the way he used to
(2) Quite a bit, yes, which is why I’m not out of hope. But then he didn’t fool around with his curveball last time
(3) That’s what I’m hoping for

by Jeff Sullivan on Sep 26, 2008 5:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

JJ Putz's average fastball velocity by year:

2005: 94.8
2006: 95.6
2007: 94.7
2008: 94.9

Not so sure he actually has lost velo.

by marc w on Sep 26, 2008 4:52 PM PDT reply actions  

Hasn't this been skewed a little by his injuries?

IIRC, many of his outings after his returns he never even hit 95, let alone 97.

It's hard to convince people to let you eat them if you're an asshole. - Thingray

by Faux on Sep 26, 2008 7:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

Doesn't make it any less real

My concern is that he just never gets all the way back.

by Jeff Sullivan on Sep 26, 2008 10:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

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