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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

47-81

 
Ph_425853_medium hey frank what am i supposed to do

Frankthomasmad2_medium Hit the ball.

Ph_425853_medium but its hard

Frankthomasmad2_medium Do your best.

Ph_425853_medium fuck it this is impossible

Ph_435559_mediumHey, Frank.

Ph_435559_mediumHey so what am I supposed to do?

Frankthomasmad2_medium Watch the ball and hit it when it gets close to you.

Ph_435559_mediumBut that sounds really difficult.

Frankthomasmad2_medium It is difficult.

Ph_435559_mediumCan't we make it easier?

Frankthomasmad2_medium It doesn't get any easier.

Ph_435559_mediumBut this isn't fair.

Ph_435559_mediumGod I can't do this.

Pennington_medium Well hello there good chap.

Pennington_medium Might you be able to better elucidate the purpose of this wooden dowel that I hold betwixt my mittens?

Frankthomasmad2_medium

Ph_400091_mediumHEY FRANK

Frankthomasmad2_medium Oh thank God. Hey Jack.

Ph_400091_mediumWE'RE GONNA DRUB THIS SOFT-TOSSING MOTHERFUCKER

Frankthomasmad2_medium I hear that.

Ph_400091_mediumI'M GONNA GO 3-3 WITH THREE HOMERS

Ph_400091_mediumTHREE MAMMOTH HOMERS THAT'LL BE ALL LIKE WHOA DUDE THOSE WERE FUCKING MAMMOTH

Frankthomasmad2_medium Yeah, we should really be able to light this guy up.

Custblurry_medium OH SHIT GOTTA GO

Frankthomasmad2_medium Wait what

Ph_425853_mediumhey frank

Ph_425853_mediumhey frank i forgot what you said before

 

8_22_08_medium

Biggest Contribution: Jose Lopez, +23.0%
Biggest Suckfest: Sean Green, -34.9%
Most Important AB: Lopez double, +16.4%
Most Important Pitch: Pennington single, -19.0%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): -13.4%
Total Contribution by Lineup: +55.4%
Total Contribution by Opposition: +8.0%
(What is this chart?)

This was one of those games where you hate to see one of the teams lose. Because they both deserve to lose. It's obviously great to see Clement heating up and generating more suitable results, but these are two godawful ballclubs. The instant Ellis and Cust came out we might as well have been watching something out of the PCL.

As far as Feierabend is concerned, I have both good and bad news. The good news is that he found his missing miles per hour and made the first legitimately effective Major League start of his career. While his pitch count climbed pretty quickly and knocked him out after five innings, he allowed only one line drive against eight groundballs and three pop flies, successfully avoiding solid contact against a bad but nevertheless AL lineup. Like RRS the night before, Feierabend put up another Washburn start for a non-Washburn price, the likes of which I'm always happy to get out of cheap arms. Affordable mediocrity has more value than people think it does, and that's Feierabend's ceiling skillset to a T. So I'm happy to see him make a start like this in which he's really throwing a solid changeup.

The bad news is that...well the bad news is that it turns out he may not have been missing any miles in his last start after all. Curious, I went back and checked out the PITCHf/x data for the other guys who pitched that day, and to a man their fastball velocities were a few ticks below their season averages (save for Bonser, who made a midseason switch to relief). So again it looks like we may have been dealing with a calibration error rather than a pitcher struggling to find his right stuff.

Why is this bad news? Because it takes away the obvious, immediate excuse. I was happy assuming that Feierabend got slapped around by the Twins because he wasn't throwing his usual stuff, but if he was, and PITCHf/x was wrong, then that explanation goes out the window and we're left with a guy who quite simply got torn to bits. That's way worse. I wasn't kidding the other day when I mentioned how much I'd love to get an explanation for why stuff like this might happen with PITCHf/x from time to time, because if these little calibration errors are real, then that makes it that much harder to both trust and analyze the data. For Feierabend, whether or not he was actually missing a few miles last week is pretty important. Therefore I would like to get to the bottom of this. I just don't know how.

What I do know is that Feierabend of all people doing this to the A's makes RRS' performance last night a little less impressive. It's never that much fun when you think you did something well and then someone worse than you comes along and does something similar. But for as much as this makes me and my undying love for RRS a little uneasy, Jarrod Washburn getting his ass beat tomorrow would make me feel a whole hell of a lot better. Come on, Oakland. Everybody's doing it. Join the party.

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He got pulled from his previous Rainiers start early

But between the fewer days between starts, having his routine thrown off, flying to Minnesota, having to face higher-level hitters… yeah, a lot was working against Feier that start.

by Gomez on Aug 23, 2008 4:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

NO

THERE IS ONLY ONE JI

by craig3410 on Aug 23, 2008 2:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

That's true.

There’s only one JI.

I live in georegia but i dont see rusia no where not even sound but they says theres tanks should i be worrie-Yahoo Answers

by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Aug 23, 2008 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

Feierabend's struggles vs. Minnesota

may not have been MPH-related. Maybe he lacked command/control, maybe he was just unlucky on balls in play. I do not know what sample size you’d need to determine whether a pitcher is ready to start in the majors but two starts is definitely not enough.

by vj on Aug 23, 2008 9:25 AM PDT reply actions  

What does your scouting report say?

Do you throw almost 90? have you ever started in AAA? If the answer to both questions is NO, than you’ll need only one start in MLB to show that you can’t do it.

by vj on Aug 24, 2008 5:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/stats/players/index.php?lastName=feierabend

I know that. It seems that in 06 and 07, he had shown that he was not ready, then. The point of auditioning him this year is to find out how much progress he’s made. And my question aimed at finding out how many starts/innings we may need to make that determination.

by vj on Aug 24, 2008 5:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

Funniest thing I've seen in a while

The Frank Thomas conversation is brilliant. Jack Cust is the man.

by NYCeahawks on Aug 26, 2008 12:42 PM PDT reply actions  

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