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Series Preview: Seattle Mariners @ Anaheim Angels

Seattle: 45-73
Angels: 74-43

GAMES

Game 1: Jarrod Washburn* vs Jon Garland
Game 2: Felix Hernandez vs Ervin Santana

Jon Garland has gained a bit over earlier in the year when he was abysmal at striking batters out, he's now just merely bad. Still that mediocre K rate (just over 10%) coupled with roughly average everything else leaves him with a tRA of 5.53 and a tRA+ of 85.

Ervin Santana has certainly recovered from his disastrous 2007 campaign with a good number of strikes and missed bats though he remains a predominantly flyball pitcher. Still, he's struck out his way to a 3.52 tRA and 134 tRA+.

Star-divide

Likely Starters:
C Jeff Mathis/Mike Napoli
1 Mark Teixeira^
2 Howie Kendrick
3 Chone Figgins^
S Erick Aybar^
L Garret Anderson*
C Torii Hunter
R Vladimir Guerrero
D Juan Rivera

Gary Matthews Jr : .636 OPS, year 2 of a five year, $50 million contract.

CONTEXT

Ryan Rowland-Smith makes a triumphant return to the big leagues, which was nice to see.

Let's talk a bit about Jose Lopez. He still cannot draw a walk, and he's not taking hit by pitches this year either, further depressing his isolated plate patience, but he has cut down on his strikeouts while also hitting the ball with more authority. The result is a much improved batting average helping to inflate his OBP to a decent level.

His homerun per flyball continues its steady progression, now nearing 7%, up half a point over last year and his gap power has returned powering him to over 30 doubles already on the season. Another interesting development is in his pop ups. Remember last season when it seemed all Yuni and Loafie did was pop the ball up? Well both of them have reduced that tendancy, Lopez dramatically so.

What it amounts to is that Lopez is currently on pace to be about a win above average with his bat alone this season and he gains another win for playing second base. Now his defense has certainly been a concern this year. In previous years he was average to slightly above with the glove but this year (small sample size alert) he's been decidedly below.

Now, even with below average defense he comes across okay because his bat and position make him roughly 15-20 runs above average so bad defense probably robs him of that leaving him an average player, which is still quite valuable at second base and at his salary. It's valuable enough that instead of needing to replace both 2B and SS for 2009, I would say that now we can hope to count on Lopez to hold up 2B and pour that money elsewhere. However, if Lopez can maintain this level of hitting and rediscover his glove work that we've seen before you would suddenly have a potential four-win player (above replacement) which would be a huge boon to this club's chances of a speedy recovery.

Yuni really needs to go though.

THIS SERIES BROUGHT TO YOU BY:

Pilsner Urquell
Plzensky Prazdroj. Plzen, CZ

Not necessarily anything fantastic, but props have to be given to the original pilsner and it's certainly a good one . If you manage to get your hands on some of it unfiltered, jump on that chance because that's a rare opportunity and a golden one.

0 recs  |  Comment 69 comments

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Jose Lopez has been arguably the best player on the team t his year.

No wonder he was benched.

Pus, it’s in the best interest of the future of this franchise if we beat the holy fucking hell out of Garland today.

9 = 8

by JI on Aug 12, 2008 9:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Nothing gets the GTE out of me more than the Angels.

I was at Shea for the Felix-Slam!
Personal M's record: 5-4.

by EnglishMariner on Aug 12, 2008 9:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Lopez's O-Swing% is down and his O-Contact% is up

Looks like he’s gotten better at figuring out which pitches he can’t hit.

by Jeff on Aug 12, 2008 9:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

O-Swing% = % of times he swings at a pitch outside the strike zone

O-Contact% = % of times that he makes contact when he swings at a pitch outside the strike zone

by Matthew on Aug 12, 2008 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

O-swing = total pitches swung at

O-contact = total pitches hit of pitches swung at

The ♥ Jose Lopez ♥ Watch - 146 H, 16 BB, 44 G Left

by seattlebruin on Aug 12, 2008 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wow, I am both late and wrong

a double whammy

The ♥ Jose Lopez ♥ Watch - 146 H, 16 BB, 44 G Left

by seattlebruin on Aug 12, 2008 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's swinging at fewer balls out of the zone

but when he does swing at them, he’s making more frequent contact.

LATE

by Jeff on Aug 12, 2008 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kenji has back spasms.

I reject your reality and substitute my own!

Also, I'm always down for some online Grand Theft Auto IV or Rock Band. Gamertag: Phildopip

by Phildopip on Aug 12, 2008 10:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Totally agree Matthew

I’ve been arguing for weeks that Lopez is valuable to the team.

Yuni, clearly, is not.

by dnc on Aug 12, 2008 9:48 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

FELIX WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!

The ♥ Jose Lopez ♥ Watch - 146 H, 16 BB, 44 G Left

by seattlebruin on Aug 12, 2008 9:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

So, racist?

Is it just me, or is this AJ trade looking worse every day?

by The Alaskan on Aug 12, 2008 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No

Yuni is silly like a monkey.

by Robert on Aug 12, 2008 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't get it.

I thought I got it, but the moderators seem to disagree. I’m not sure.

Is it just me, or is this AJ trade looking worse every day?

by The Alaskan on Aug 12, 2008 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What?

Boxed?

Finally, some recognition.

by NOLAmarinergirl on Aug 12, 2008 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know.

I put up a picture with a little monkey sitting on a boy’s head. The boy’s face is all scratched up. I said the boy’s face represented the Mariner’s chances of success. Now it’s gone, but it’s still in my “recent activity”, with 1 reply.

Maybe somebody took it the wrong way, and thought just to be on the safe side… it would be nice to get a little one-line explanation, though. Not a big deal, just curious. How can I do better if I don’t know what I’ve done wrong?

Is it just me, or is this AJ trade looking worse every day?

by The Alaskan on Aug 12, 2008 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ah.

I wish I was smart with this contraption, and knew how to cover the obnoxious words, and keep the image. Ideally, I would have printed “Silly Monkey” and got rid of their text. Then, put Yuni’s face over the monkeys.

Yeah, that would’ve been good stuff…. Anyway, thanks for the explanation Graham.

Is it just me, or is this AJ trade looking worse every day?

by The Alaskan on Aug 12, 2008 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gay racist monkey joke.

I'm more like I am now than I've ever been.

by ralphie81 on Aug 12, 2008 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gay racist monkeys?

What, so the Howlers don’t like the Macaques?

I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.

by Llewdor on Aug 12, 2008 3:48 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which is the worse contract?

Gary Matthews Jr.?

or

Carlos Silva?

I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.

by Llewdor on Aug 12, 2008 10:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

wtf?

I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.

by Llewdor on Aug 12, 2008 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

+ More years, NTC through whole thing IIRC

Silva is one less year, only one year of NTC

by Faux on Aug 12, 2008 11:09 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If CWS went after Ho,

we can push Silva off onto someone. We may have to give up a ton of money, but at least we’ll save the years.

by Faux on Aug 12, 2008 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think if he starts being violent his contract will probably void itself

I’m sure there’s a player conduct clause somewhere in there.

Or we could hope for the ideal solution, that he gets really angry at Yuni and chases him around the clubhouse for six straight weeks, causing both of them to lose ~30 lbs from the excercise

The ♥ Jose Lopez ♥ Watch - 146 H, 16 BB, 44 G Left

by seattlebruin on Aug 12, 2008 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

In that case...

I hope he loses 20 games and goes nuts in the clubhouse making his contract void. Oh please oh please.

P.S. why is Washburn still a Mariner?

JI/Robert '08!

by Fin on Aug 12, 2008 2:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Performance wise, yes

The pseudo leader bullshit is not, however.

by dnc on Aug 12, 2008 1:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Could Tuglett play everyday SS?

Tuglett’s probably a better hitter than Yuni, so if he could play credible SS, he’d be an upgrade.

Of course, he might not be able to play SS…

by eponymous_coward on Aug 12, 2008 1:56 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Of course, he might not be able to play SS…
Which gives him something in common with Yuni.

by dnc on Aug 12, 2008 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the other angels fan

by Eyebrows on Aug 12, 2008 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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