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Around SBN: Jeremy Lin And How The Pac-12 Missed Him

Unlucky Hitters

A quick and dirty measure to check how lucky or unlucky a hitter has been is to compare said hitter's line drive rate (LD%) with his batting average on balls in play (BABIP). Generally, a hitter's BABIP should hover around 11 points higher than his LD%. It's not as pure luck of a number as a pitcher's BABIP since hitters do have some control over batted balls and things like footspeed (for heavy groundball hitters) can skew the results, but it's a good 5-second proxy.

That being said, as of conclusion of play yesterday, here's the twenty most unlucky and lucky hitters (min. 200 PA) as measured by BABIP-LD%.

UnluckyLucky
LastFirstTeamLD%BABIPDiffLastFirstTeamLD%BABIPDiff
Sanchez  Freddy  PIT  23.90% 0.242 0.300% Berkman  Lance  HOU  16.50% 0.367 20.200%
Schneider  Brian  NYN  28.20% 0.298 1.600% Uggla  Dan C  FLA  14.10% 0.341 20.000%
Konerko  Paul  CHA  20.30% 0.229 2.600% Lewis  Fred D  SF  18.70% 0.377 19.000%
Swisher  Nick T  CHA  24.30% 0.269 2.600% Jones  Adam L  BAL  17.90% 0.356 17.700%
Rollins  Jimmy  PHI  25.00% 0.280 3.000% Gomez  Carlos A  MIN  17.00% 0.347 17.700%
Hernandez  Ramon  BAL  22.20% 0.257 3.500% Gerut  Jody  SD  15.80% 0.331 17.300%
Beltre  Adrian  SEA  21.50% 0.252 3.700% Hardy  J.J.  MIL  14.10% 0.309 16.800%
Byrnes  Eric  ARI  18.80% 0.226 3.800% Laird  Gerald  TEX  18.50% 0.351 16.600%
Vidro  Jose  SEA  19.00% 0.228 3.800% Young  Delmon D  MIN  18.30% 0.343 16.000%
Carroll  Jamey  CLE  29.30% 0.331 3.800% Holliday  Matt T  COL  22.60% 0.385 15.900%
Stewart  Shannon  TOR  22.00% 0.259 3.900% Gathright  Joey R  KC  13.40% 0.291 15.700%
Izturis  Cesar  STL  20.40% 0.245 4.100% Matsui  Hideki  NYA  19.00% 0.346 15.600%
Ludwick  Ryan  STL  28.20% 0.323 4.100% Pence  Hunter A  HOU  15.10% 0.306 15.500%
Tejada  Miguel  HOU  25.50% 0.297 4.200% Varitek  Jason  BOS  12.10% 0.275 15.400%
Patterson  Corey  CIN  14.60% 0.188 4.200% Matsui  Kaz  HOU  16.30% 0.317 15.400%
Duncan  Chris E  STL  23.50% 0.279 4.400% Jeter  Derek  NYA  15.50% 0.307 15.200%
Johjima  Kenji  SEA  18.30% 0.228 4.500% Granderson  Curtis  DET  18.40% 0.333 14.900%
Izturis  Maicer E  LAA  23.00% 0.275 4.500% Ramirez  Hanley  FLA  18.70% 0.336 14.900%
Scutaro  Marco  TOR  24.70% 0.293 4.600% Harris  Brendan  MIN  16.10% 0.310 14.900%
Mora  Melvin  BAL  19.00% 0.243 5.300% Iguchi  Tadahito  SD  18.00% 0.328 14.800%

Data provided by The Hardball Times

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Not surprised to see Uggla near the top of the lucky list.

And pleasantly surprised Utley is kicking ass properly.

by Wilder. on Jul 7, 2008 5:59 PM PDT reply actions  

I'm a little surprised at Uggla, given all the HRs he's hitting

although hitting lots of home runs and being lucky are completely independent things

by seattlebruin on Jul 7, 2008 6:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ryan Ludwick is a beast

the artist formerly known as Mere Tantalisers.

by Bearskin Rugburn on Jul 7, 2008 6:24 PM PDT reply actions  

It’s somewhat surprising that Chipper isn’t on the list of luckiest hitters.

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Jul 7, 2008 7:35 PM PDT reply actions  

Lucky or good.

The players on the right for the most part happen to be good players that I would want on my team. The players on the left with the exception of F. Sanchez are all over rated (Beltre, Konerko, Rollins) or suck (everyone else).

by mw3 on Jul 8, 2008 11:15 AM PDT reply actions  

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