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18-34

You know how I know that I'm used to losing? After the latest in a series of gut-wrenching embarrassments, all I can think about is how glad I am that I was able to see Ichiro throw himself at the wall for the sake of a team going nowhere. Good show, little dude. Good show.

5_26_08_medium

Biggest Contribution: Yuniesky Betancourt, +5.5%
Biggest Suckfest: Felix, -20.3%
Most Important AB: Lopez HBP, +9.7%
Most Important Pitch: Pedroia double, -26.5%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): -19.1%
Total Contribution by Hitters: -34.5%
Total Contribution by Opposition: +3.6%
(What is this chart?)

  • It was an absolute beast of a catch, and Ichiro's instant answer to people who thought he might've been dogging it during the road trip. For all we know, it was also Ichiro's answer to his own self-evaluation. When Varitek hit that ball it looked like a bomb or at least a run-scoring double, but Ichiro was on his horse from the crack of the bat, and as he neared the track you got the feeling in the back of your head that you were about to see something special. Sure enough, as he set foot on the dirt, he left his feet and propelled himself into the fence to make an over-the-shoulder catch the likes of which Willie Mays couldn't even imagine. He fell on his back, adjusted his hat, returned the ball to the infield, and then - after taking a moment to catch his breath - fixed his socks as if nothing had happened. JD Drew scampered back to first base as a stunned Jason Varitek stared into center field.

    It was the kind of catch that you imagine making when you're a kid playing ball in your backyard, and as you get back to your feet you smile and high-five the other outfielders and you doff your cap to the fans. But aside from simply touching the bill of his hat in response to the Safeco standing ovation, Ichiro was as cool and collected as ever, which only makes the guy all the more awesome, since you know the whole time he was running the ball down he was thinking "I need to make up for yesterday." Let Ichiro never be accused of giving less than 100% ever again, because risking your body to make a catch that in the grand scheme of things won't mean anything is the ultimate...well "gamer" is pretty much exclusively used in a derisive manner these days, but that's not a catch you make unless you're busting your ass.

    Ichiro may not always look like he's giving it his all, but that's simply a mistaken perception due to the grace with which he plays the game. Trust me. He is. And never has that been made any more clear than it was tonight.

  • Immediately following the catch, the camera panned to a shot of Red and his girlfriend applauding in the stands. That was 30 seconds of the Eels in a season of Creed.

  • With the season firmly entrenched in the crapper, the most frustrating thing to deal with right now is Felix's regression to something more resembling a #2 or #3 starter than an ace. I'm not talking about the hits or the runs; I'm talking about the spotty control, the reduced swinging strike rate and the sharp increase in fly balls. Odalis Perez has better peripherals at the moment, for God's sake. Odalis Perez, as you recall, was signed by the Nationals as an NRI last February. Nobody who was recently signed as an NRI should be out-pitching your phenom.

    I wish I could dive into a spreadsheet and figure out what's wrong, but with the 2007 pitch data being fairly unreliable, I don't have that much to go on. However, the obvious suspicion is - as always - an over-dependence on fastballs. Even moreso than in years past (Stottlemyre?). He's up over 65% fastballs, which is beyond ridiculous for a guy offering an above-average changeup, slider, and curve. There's no reason for him to be throwing that many heaters, and you can kind of see it reflected in his struggles to put batters away; after getting ahead 0-1, he's allowed a .688 OPS on the season, compared to the AL average of .610. When a guy with Felix's repertoire gets ahead of a hitter 0-1, that should be it. Game over. But it hasn't been that way, and it's a problem. Throw fewer fastballs. Throw fewer fastballs! If only to see what happens. It's not like there's much to lose at this point. Might as well start experimenting. 

  • With two on and none out in the bottom of the sixth, John McLaren called for Jose Vidro to lay down a sacrifice bunt. That's all well and good, since Vidro sucks and all, and I would've been okay with it were it not for one little thing - Vidro was batting third in the lineup. John McLaren has so much faith in Vidro that he's been batting him third, but he has so little faith in Vidro that he had him bunt the runners over in a critical situation. We know it's not a matter of McLaren simply being comfortable bunting with anyone, since the other run producers (Beltre, Ibanez, "Sexson") have yet to put one down, so which is it, John? Do you think Vidro's good or do you think Vidro sucks? Because too often I'm finding it hard to wrap my head around what you're thinking.

  • Last January:
    The winter has not gone well for RHP Bartolo Colon, who is trying to rehab a torn rotator cuff. Colon, 34 and never a picture of health, has thrown just 155.2 innings over the past two years. He apparently did not use any of his rehab time to lose weight, a point of concern for those scouting him in winter league ball. Worse, according to one scout, was his lack of velocity. "We barely had him in the high 80s," the scout says. "If he is not throwing 94, I am not sure where he fits in." 
    Bartolo Colon's average fastball, first two starts: 92.7mph, with 27% of them over 94 and a handful at 96.

    Colon can't quite scrape the high-90s like he could in his career peak, and he's essentially a two-pitch pitcher with a ticking time bomb of a shoulder, but the Red Sox got him on a minor league contract, and for as long as he's healthy he's a good bet to either match or exceed the performances of all three expensive bits of our starting rotation. If only someone would've thought of this earlier. This is but one of a million reasons why the Red Sox win and the Mariners don't. 

  • I've long been of the stance that Jacoby Ellsbury's an overrated prospect, because he just doesn't have that high of a ceiling at the plate. However, while I still believe that, lately I've been reconsidering my position on the issue, because God damn the kid has a hell of a glove. Not counting tonight, Ellsbury's had 98 balls hit into his zone on the year, and he's caught 95 of them. He's also made 18 plays out of zone for good measure. That's tops in the league, and while it's still early, he seems to have good enough instincts to be an impact defender, and he definitely has the speed. So, yeah, Ellsbury may just develop into an elite-level outfielder after all. Just not because of what he does with the stick.

  • Miguel Cairo is super awesome at pouncing on bunts from first base and throwing down to second. As best attributes go, that's a really weird one.

  • Felix's 8th inning:

    low-away 1-2 curveball; groundball single
    bunt force out
    low-away 1-2 fastball; groundout
    first-pitch inside fastball; pulled double
    intentional walk
    first-pitch outside fastball; opposite-field single
    high-inside 0-1 fastball; infield single
    first-pitch outside changeup; infield single
    nine-pitch walk

    Felix was not all that bad in the inning, and he certainly didn't deserve to give up four runs and get tagged with the loss. When the camera showed him in the dugout a few minutes after getting yanked, it looked like he'd been crying, and honestly, I can't blame him. He hasn't won in seven starts, and as silly as it sounds to us, wins are all most pitchers care about. This has been a rough year for everyone, but it seems like Felix has had to deal with an inordinate amount of frustration. He needs to be on the right side of a laugher in the worst way.

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Ichiro's explanation for why he made the extra effort, per Larry Stone

“(Sunday), for some reason, some people thought I should have caught a ball [talking about the Molina double in NY]. That really ticked me off. I said to myself I was going for the ball no matter what, even if I’m injured on the play. I had a lot of stress piled up from yesterday. Because of that, I don’t remember much about what happened. I just thought to let my body go.’‘

Asked who the criticism came from, Ichiro said, “I don’t think it’s necessary to answer.’

by OlSalty on May 27, 2008 1:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

This game

hurt. But is good right? Its good not to loose and not give Lincoln or Armstrong any sign of false hope. That way, maybe, just maybe, Bavasi will loose his job.

by Edgar for Mayor on May 27, 2008 1:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I just want to thank you Jeff for still giving 100% just like Ichiro

even though this team’s season is down the shitter. I still enjoy coming to this site to have fun and learn new things and socialize with fellow suffering M’s fans.

by Fin on May 27, 2008 1:57 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

On the bright side...

We are now one game closer to getting Strasburg.

by Benne on May 27, 2008 2:17 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

"Raul Ibanez Is Really Good At Defense"

Yea, so I just noticed that Raul has his own section below “LL Images” now. Four animated GIFs and counting….

Heh.

by ThundaPC on May 27, 2008 2:47 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

So Ichiro, Junior and Cameron all run through a rip in the space-time continuum...

...which magically restores them to their physical primes while dropping them onto the outfield at Safeco during a game.

Which one of the three gets Center Field?

Coldly devouring reason as if it were a delectable snack

by Frosty Raptor on May 27, 2008 4:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Junior

He may not quite be the fielder Cameron was, but he was so much fun to watch. Not to mention, I just couldn’t have a Griffey Jr. in his prime NOT be the starting center fielder. Just feels wrong.

Go nostalgia!

by AtomicGarden on May 27, 2008 7:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are we talking overall prime, or just defensive prime.

because I bet 20-22 year old Jr. was pretty fucking good.

by JI on May 27, 2008 9:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I second the vote for Cameron.

I like midgets more than I should.

by Thingray on May 27, 2008 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd alternate innings

Odd innings – Cameron in CF, Junior in LF, Ichiro in RF
Even innings – Junior in CF, Cameron in LF, Ichiro in RF

Cameron’s the best defender by a pretty good margin, but you’d have to admit, Junior was a blast to watch play center, too.

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 9:01 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

:( One of the few times in baseball history that I refuse to listen to the smarter baseball fan in me

and attribute the success of that team to “chemistry” keeping the team afloat while Junior was out

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cameron by a lot

Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.

by BrettJMiller on May 27, 2008 9:09 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Willie Bloomquist

With the intensity of such defensive awesomeness concentrated in one spot, the world would self-destruct leaving only cockroaches and their like.

Ill Ligitamus Non Carberendum

by PositivePaul on May 27, 2008 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Two words:

Open letter.

Was it Dave or Derek who wrote the open letter to Felix? Felix needs another refresher course. Maybe even send the letter each person within the Mariners organization. All I know is that it needs to happen.

by Wilder. on May 27, 2008 6:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Welcome to Marinerland, Geoff Baker.
I wrote last week that those types of games (blowouts) tend to get managers fired. One game. Not five in a row. The manager did not get fired. Blame was placed on the players. So far, no one has paid a price.

That’s a disturbing sign of a lack of accountability within this organization. It’s one thing to talk tough. Another to back up your words. It’s appaling to me that this team was allowed to embarrass itself for five consecutive days without any consequences. And it wasn’t just me who noticed. The entire New York press corps universally agreed that the first two games of the series at Yankee Stadium was the worst they had seen a team play back-to-back this season.

Seven in a row? Sixteen games under? Two competitive games after a five-day joke? And no heads rolling anywhere, on the field or off?

That’s the symbol of complacency. That is not an organization dedicated to winning.

By Jove, I think he’s got it.

by ThundaPC on May 27, 2008 8:24 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

When you guess wrong, after five years of trying with a payroll this big, expecting a sixth season is a bit presumptuous.

by JI on May 27, 2008 9:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is an organization...

....that runs by consensus. It is also not very nimble and not very flexible. They overvalue stability and sticking to a decision and hoping it works out for the best.

That’s not complacency. It’s the mindset of a corporate manager.

That’s NOT what this team needs. It needs more of an entrepreneurial mindset. And it’s a mindset that will make little headway in this organization.

by rtang on May 27, 2008 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

From Billy Beane's interview with AN:
Felix (Hernandez), up in Seattle, is the other one that if he’s on and he has it that day, that’s it. He’s dominating.

I feel honored

by Last Fan Of Jose Lopez on May 27, 2008 10:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Some douchebag with a camera will capture it on film

Hookers and blow aint worth that kind of “American public are hypocrites who demand that their celebrities be better than they are” baclash you would recieve.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I had a buddy who is literally a rocket scientist

He turned down an offer to be paid to recieve a degree from MIT so he could quit his job and go back to DJ’ing

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lol... I am literally a rocket scientist

it doesn’t mean I’m smart.

Oregon State offered to pay me to go there… but I turned them down as well.

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I was meant to be doing aero eng...

But somewhere along the way advanced thermodynamics escaped me and I ended up doing biological and structural stuff instead.

I miss fluid dynamics :(

by Graham on May 27, 2008 11:25 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The joke is on him

He went to a bunch of college and got a weird job for the government he can’t really talk about. I dropped out of college, went to work on an oil rig, and make more a year than he does.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:30 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

There's so much money in oil it's sickening

I know a kid who got out last year and went petroleum engineering for one of the oil companies (forgot which one, think it was Exxon) and came in @ 80k with guaranteed 10% raises the first three years, which apparently is the standard pay scale too… puts the aero kids to shame and its not like we’re not getting paid by the contractors right now.

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No doubt

BP has new well cite leaders out the wazoo up here all making bank. I’m just a glorified roughneck who was given a desk job keeping track of paperwork and I pull in almost 90.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ridiculous... kind of makes me reconsider

but then, I really like what I do so… (yes, I realize the irony of both liking my job and spending my work days on LL…)

I’m putting my degree to good use (I work for a government contractor) and I make 64… but then I have lots of time to get raises :). Plus getting an MBA for free doesn’t hurt either.

And it’ll be at SDSU! Too bad Strasburg will be gone by then… :(

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Im being offered in the 100+K range

for my statistical analysis, six sigma and logistic background and I still have another 9 months before im done.

As much money as there is in Oil, the is just as much in any form of logistic think tank consulting groups.

by laxtonto on May 27, 2008 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thermo was the one thing in the entire cirriculum that made sense to me

for an AE doing structures work… I’m legitimately terrible at statics/dynamics. Thank goodness we have books and computers to do the actual work for us… I know what’s going on, just not how to do it.

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Statics is so damn easy though.

All of my work is done on FEM models these days anyway (or was, because I handed the thesis yesterday), which means that my ‘engineering’ is hitting the computer until it runs the model and hoping the results aren’t completely stupid.

by Graham on May 27, 2008 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh I can do statics just fine as long as someone gives me a simulation

it’s when I try to keep track of everything by hand that I get destroyed. I’m always the one forgetting resultants and random torques and easy shit like that even when I’m just doing beam stress analysis, etc.

It’s sometimes really frightening that I managed to make it through… although given that I never failed anything, I’ve got to be doing something right…

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I disagree.

You’re either a superstar or ghetto superstar.

Take that political correctness! We are all winners! YAY!

by Wilder. on May 27, 2008 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

error: could not converge

try refining mesh size.

Gah!

stat-addled alien overlord

by salb918 on May 27, 2008 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm using experimental biomechanics stuff

You’re lucky if you get an error message at all

by Graham on May 27, 2008 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ichiro talking about his catch

“I said to myself I was going for the ball no matter what, even if I’m injured on the play”

This sorta implies to me that there are some plays on which he isn’t going to go for the ball if there is an injury risk (which I guess we kinda knew because he rarely dives). He’s a small guy and I can see why he would be wary of colliding with walls or possibly a big dude like Wlad on a play. Also, I know it looked cool when he grabbed his hat after making that catch, but to me it looked like he was just trying to protect his head.

This highlights something that I heard Joe Sheehan talking to Bill Simmons about as the new big thing in stats (once everyone realizes that defense matters), and he was referring to injury prevention. Sometimes I really do think that Ichiro lets up, but its only because he doesn’t want to get hurt. And frankly, I don’t want to see him get hurt either, so I can’t really get upset if he errs on the side of caution.

I watched Griffey run into walls for years with the M’s and that probably hurt more than it helped in the long run. The classic example would be when he caught that ball hit off Randy and crashed into the wall, breaking his wrist. You rarely see Ichiro put himself in position for something like that to happen, last night being an exception.

I’m not really going anywhere with this, just thought it was interesting. And I think its something that the casual fan misses entirely with Ichiro.

by ack on May 27, 2008 11:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd just call that "playing smart"

because unless you’re Jose Vidro, you’re not doing your team a lot of good sitting on the bench injured.

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sadly the casual fan says

Ichiro takes plays off! We need Bloomquist in center he is teh roxxxorsszz!!!!!1!

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

And that is casual fans suck

you would think that of all the players on the team, the casual fans would appreciate the best one…

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I approve of this

If you’re a star player who’s absolutely critical for a team’s success, at some point on the degree of difficulty scale the injury risk outweighs the cost of letting a ball drop. Amazing catches that send you face-first into the track or wall are great for TV, but they’re bad if you’re relying on Jim Edmonds or Aaron Rowand to stay healthy.

by Jeff on May 27, 2008 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ichiro may have been thinking

“Hell, this season is shot anyway, may as well give the crowd a good show.” Bonus, if he gets injured he gets spared the embarassment of taking the field with these jokers.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's what seperates Edmonds

from being historically great, and historically spectacular.

by JI on May 27, 2008 12:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quick comment on the Rays

I do not cheer for the Rays. Not like a lot of you anyway. I couldn’t care less if they win or lose. So why do I get so pissed off wehn I constantly see the media continue to refer to them as the Devil Rays? Especially when it seems like some of them do it on purpose.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 11:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Am I doing it wrong

when I absent mindedly refer to them as the California Angels?

by JI on May 27, 2008 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Remember Angels in the Outfield?

Yeah I really liked that movie when I was a kid. I was a dumb kid.

by seattlebruin on May 27, 2008 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I liked that movie too. And I still do.

I don’t care if it has the Angels in it, it’s still a good movie.

Felix Hernandez may be The King, but Justin Upton is a GOD.

1998 Expansion Teams Reign Supreme!

by Goose on May 27, 2008 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My hatred of the Angels transcends mere baseball rivalry

I actually hate all of them on an individual basis as well.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Talk about a great 4 days

3 days at the cabin, and not one single Mariner game to depress me….. and I didn’t even wonder about the scores that whole time…. calling it a season as a fan is so refreshing.

Midnight Baseball - No Lights - Only in Alaska!

by MfaninAlaska on May 27, 2008 12:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Out in Willow....

right on a lake…

Midnight Baseball - No Lights - Only in Alaska!

by MfaninAlaska on May 27, 2008 12:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nice

My old man used to have a cabin out that way, just past Houston. How is the weather been back in town? I am stuck up here in Prudhoe until friday. I was up here 6 weeks, was home less than 5 days and got called back up for another week.

by thewyrm on May 27, 2008 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It wasn't bad

Rain on Saturady… Sunny and windy sunday but Sunny and warm the last two days.. hoping it lasts another weekend so I can go up again.

Midnight Baseball - No Lights - Only in Alaska!

by MfaninAlaska on May 27, 2008 2:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ichiro and Ellsbury

What I liked about Ichiro’s catch was how he extended his right leg to absorb some of the collision with the wall. Pretty incredible reflexes to manage that at that speed and hang onto the ball.

I never quite understood the low regard for Ellsbury. He’s not a slugger, sure, and that limits his value at the plate, BUT he has excellent plate discipline. His OBP is always going to be high, and when his BA is high, that means his OBP is going to be stratospheric. And his speed, both in the field and running the bases, is Ichiro-esque (though no one gets out of the box like Ichiro!) In fact, his overall effect right now at the plate is comparable to Ichiro’s—fewer hits but more walks. He might be better in CF. He’s a really good, really fast baseball player without much power.

by flightrisk on May 27, 2008 12:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't say low regard

I’d say tempered regard. I think pretty much everyone pegged him as an everyday player, but you have to figure that pitchers will start throwing him more strikes once they realize that, most of the time, the best he can do is hit a single.

A lot of Boston fans I’ve spoken with are convinced he’ll be a star because of his bat. I think he’ll be good with the bat and a star because of his defense.

by Jeff on May 27, 2008 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I enjoyed watching your highlight of Ichiro's heroic catch.

Nothing better than watching Varitek look stunned that Ichiro caught that ball. Priceless, especially when the Red Sox think all of their fly balls should go over the wall just because they are the Red Sox.

by 44FAN on May 27, 2008 1:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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