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RRS' Fastball

Not so much an analysis as a quick observation -

There was some concern tonight regarding RRS' fastball, as out of his 19 heaters he never once broke 88.4mph and only twice broke 87. Such concern is warranted, since RRS usually works in the 87-90 range and has a season average around 88. Velocity drops are never a good thing, and tonight RRS was exceptionally low:

Rrsfastball_medium

The chart shows RRS' average fastball velocity by 2008 appearance. You can see that his velocity tonight was the lowest it's been all year. That one point above 91, by the way, was from the outing against the Angels where he was called on to retire Garret Anderson to end the game, and during that appearance RRS threw but a single adrenaline-loaded fastball, so you should probably consider that point an anomaly.

What was the matter tonight? I'm not sure. Maybe it was the rain. But gun to my head, I'd guess that it has something to do with this being RRS' sixth appearance in ten days. After being invisible for much of April, RRS has seen a lot more action in May - the most frequent action in his career. Wouldn't surprise me if he's wearing down a bit under the burden. Warming up and getting game action that often is bound to take its toll on someone whose body is unaccustomed to such repeated stress.

Hopefully the starting rotation is able to give RRS a bit of a breather in the coming days, and tonight turns out to be little more than a fluke. But this is something to keep an eye on. Sustained velocity drops are always bad. Should this keep up, then it's a problem.

By the way, that dotted line in the chart? That's RRS' average fastball a year ago. So far in 2008 he's down ~2mph. He's only exceeded last year's average on one occasion, and that was during the one-fastball Angels game. So that's a little disconcerting. Might (might) have something to do with his playing winter ball in Venezuela, but that's just a shot in the dark. Mitigating my concern, however, is the fact that, at least thus far, the velocity drop hasn't hurt his performance. His command's been a little off, but he's never had pinpoint location, and he's getting more swinging strikes now than he was last summer (19% to 17%). So if the data's correct and he really has lost a couple miles, he seems to have figured out a way to get by no worse for wear.

0 recs | Comment 20 comments

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Comments

Display:

So what you're saying is...

His velocity’s gone walk-a-bout?

Crikey!

Fans are typically idiots.

by The Typical Idiot Fan on May 21, 2008 11:22 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Throw is not darn manly?

Say it isn’t so!

Ryan Rowland-Smith - Throw is Darn Manly

by Throw is Darn Manly on May 21, 2008 11:23 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

After all that time he wasn't used

and the high frequency he’s being used now, it makes me wonder if he’s got a case of dead-arm going.

Or it could be Vasculitis.

by BrianL on May 21, 2008 11:31 PM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah

He’s got to be bushwhacked. Don’t forget that count doesn’t include all the pitches he throws while warming up.

by Gomez on May 22, 2008 1:17 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Venezuela thing would not negatively impact his fastball

In fact, it should make it so he comes out warmer in April than a guy who sat all winter.

And I am worried. 35 pitches today and 16 yesterday shouldnt bring his fastball down ~2mph.

He has thrown 233 pitches in 14.1 innings in May this year. Last August, when he was used the most, he threw 253 pitches in 16.1 innings. So about the exact same. He averaged the over 90 speed and this was with a 4 inning, 57 pitch performance thrown in.

It is good his has figured out how to get batters out despite the loss in velocity, but he is only 25… he shouldnt’ be losing speed already. :/ Hopefully it is just a case of dead arm..

by ASUBoyd on May 22, 2008 1:27 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hey Jeff....Found a cool article/video

on Hamilton for ya…an outside the lines thing,,,

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/clubhouse?team=tex

Truthfully, every time i hear the guy talk about his life, its an uplifting expreince…

by laxtonto on May 22, 2008 8:54 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Boooo!!!!

Every time Iseehim crush a ball, I wonder, Wow how bad ass would TB be if he didnt fall off the deep end..

Crawford, Upton, and Hamilton…..im scared, hold me

by laxtonto on May 22, 2008 9:31 AM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He has thrown 233 pitches in 14.1 innings in May this year. Last August, when he was used the most, he threw 253 pitches in 16.1 innings. So about the exact same.

... except there’s 9 days left in May… so unless we’re gonna assume he doesn’t throw a single pitch the rest of the month, or no more than an inning… averaging things out, this is a bigger workload. Plus, 51 pitches in the last 2 days, not including warmup pitches.

by Gomez on May 22, 2008 1:21 PM PDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Is it too early to tell though?

This time of year we’re still playing in relatively cold weather, maybe he’s just a warm weather guy. So as the season turns to June-August his arm will loosen up with the warm weather. I have no idea how much weather affects certain guys, but it’s a shot in the dark

by mariners124m on May 22, 2008 10:32 AM PDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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