Fun With Felix
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 22, 2008 1:11 PM PDT
in Seattle Mariners Stats
Email
PrintThis is a post of maximum information and minimum interpretation, simply because I love PITCHf/x, I love Felix, and I love putting two things I love together into one thing I love even more. Like a fighter jet made out of gummy bears.
| n | Speed | pfx | pfz | %Thrown | Strike% | StL% | StS% | StF% | StI% | |
| CH | 17 | 87.0 | -7.8 | 3.1 | 10.1% | 70.6% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 58.3% |
| CU | 14 | 81.1 | 6.4 | -5.8 | 8.3% | 64.3% | 55.6% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 11.1% |
| SL | 37 | 88.0 | 1.0 | -0.8 | 22.0% | 43.2% | 31.3% | 25.0% | 6.3% | 37.5% |
| FA | 100 | 95.1 | -7.6 | 7.7 | 59.5% | 74.0% | 24.3% | 12.2% | 31.1% | 32.4 |
| n | Speed | pfx | pfz | Thrown% | Strike% | StL% | StS% | StF% | StI% | |
| CH | 52 | 86.8 | -8.2 | 3.4 | 20.2% | 53.8% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 35.7% |
| CU | 31 | 81.0 | 5.7 | -5.9 | 12.1% | 64.5% | 65.0% | 5.0% | 20.3% | 9.7% |
| SL | 24 | 89.0 | 1.0 | -0.8 | 9.3% | 58.3% | 21.4% | 42.9% | 28.6% | 7.1% |
| FA | 150 | 94.7 | -7.5 | 7.8 | 58.4% | 64.7% | 23.7% | 11.3% | 26.8% | 38.1 |
Note: pfx = movement in x (inches), pfz = movement in z (inches), StL% = percent of strikes looking, StS% = percent of strikes swinging, StF% = percent of strikes foul, StI% = percent of strikes in play.
The real fun thing to do with this, I think, is examine Felix's tendencies. For example, against righties, it looks like he uses the fastball to try and get quick outs, whereas the slider is his strikeout pitch low and away. Against lefties, he hammers the outer half with fastballs while going down and in with the slider and down and away with the changeup. The curveball's in there against both righties and lefties to screw up their timing (look at those absurd StL% rates).
Too much fun. Happy Felix Day.
98 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Hot.
I reject your reality and substitute my own!
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 22, 2008 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions
I wouldn't be gay with Felix
But I would have a sex change and be his woman if he wanted.
by Jordan of Boise on Apr 22, 2008 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions
eeh
Dude’s never look right once they have sex changes.
by JI on Apr 22, 2008 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions
My King Felix baseball card collection is growing nicely.
Long Live the King.
...and now I'm here
Felix's curve is evil.
He has excellent control of it, and it appears to be so unhittable batters don’t even swing. Look at the StS% numbers.
I posted this in one of my fantasy leagues
Red Rockets, Felix is just an amazing pitcher to you. To me, Felix is the reason why the sun shines a little brighter every morning. The reason why flowers smell a little sweeter. The reason why there isn’t a bullet currently lodged in my frontal lobe.
Where do you even find a picture like that?
People on LL come up with the weirdest stuff.
I like midgets more than I should.
Both of those are slightly odd.
But not nearly as strange as the bicep plane.
I like midgets more than I should.
Whatever man
they make harnesses that can hold at least 40 midgets.
by JI on Apr 22, 2008 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions
This makes me happier than I should be.
I like midgets more than I should.
Jeff I remember you had some forewarning of Bedard's last scratching
Any hints you can give us on whether he’s gonna be down for a while or whether he’ll be starting sometime this week?
Don't know anything new, will have to ask
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 22, 2008 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions
He's eligible to come off the DL, I know that.
I like midgets more than I should.
Exactly. It doesn't mean he's healthy, or that he will start. Just means he's eligible to.
I like midgets more than I should.
0.0%
Strikes looking on the Change-up to RHB. Weird. Thing must look like a beach ball coming out of his hand.
It's only a sample of 12 strikes so far
but, yeah, I don’t like that pitch to righties anyway.
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 22, 2008 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions
Congrats to Graham
... on the late tie. Wow that have been a tough one if your a Reds fan.
I feel so bad for L'pool fans...
We didn’t deserve that at all.
by Graham MacAree on Apr 22, 2008 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions
I hope Liverpool go through. Chelsea were poor tonight.
That said, I hope Chelsea win the league for obvious reasons.
Beware of the GTE.
by EnglishMariner on Apr 22, 2008 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions
Arsenal could have beaten either team today
not that I’m bitter or anything. But seriously.
And I hate this part of the season, because I have to now decide whether I’d rather see the mancs or chelsea win the league. That’s like choosing between liver and tripe for dinner.
Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.
Tripe is gross
If you ever go for Pho with Vietnamese people make sure you read the menu carefully before ordering.
Tripe :-(
Beef Tendon :(
The poster formerly known as Matt.
Yes...your frustration makes me stronger!
This season has been far from perfect, but when you step back and look at it, there’s a beauty to it.
I’m not stoked to see man u win the league, but there are worse teams out there…
I'm having a hard time seeing the beauty right now
but that’s only because of my white hot hatred for Cristiano Ronaldo and Man Utd.
Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.
I was just talking about this at work
some players are so freaking good that your hatred grows and grows, but at some point it drops off.
It is pointless hating Cristiano Ronaldo. I really, really hated Kobe Bryant and then he ripped off 5 games of at least 50 or whatever it was. I kept watching because seemingly every quarter, he’d do something jaw-dropping. I still dislike him, and I’ve always disliked the Lakers. But seriously- jaw-dropping.
Pedro Martinez is the best baseball analogy. He always beat the M’s, he played for the Red Sox, he seemed like a douche, I don’t know. But after a while, I just couldn’t hate him – he was too good to hate.
And yes, I finally got there with Thierry Henry. That took years.
I only hate Cristiano Ronaldo
because he plays for Man Utd. If he played for Real, Barcelona, Inter, or any team that doesn’t stand between Arsenal and a championship, I would worship him. He’s an unbelievable player. He just happens to play for the team I hate more than any other in the Premiership.
As it is, though, I just miss the days of the Martin Keowns and the Tony Adamses, guys who would deck a Cristiano Ronaldo after the first time he did nine stepovers at the halfway line, just to make a point.
Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.
Everyone says this, and yet
you had George Best – who nutmegged a defender, dribbled up a bit, then waited for the defender to get in front of him, and nutmegged him again.
How did Best, who was both even MORE of a show-off and played in the era when players were a ref would look the other way at a Tony Adams get-back-in-line punch, survive as long as he did? Did all the enforcers in the league decide to just buy him more booze instead?
Pretty much
and even though he was from the north of Ireland, there was probably a bit of “he’s one of us” xenophobia in there as well. In that era, a “foreign” player probably would have gotten the crap kicked out of him daily.
Nice Guys Finish Third - Hopelessly lost, but makin' good time.
If Ronaldo was in a hideous accident and broke every bone he possesed
I would take a screenshot of his ruined body and put ‘Diving’ under it. Fuck him.
by Graham MacAree on Apr 23, 2008 7:59 AM PDT up reply actions
The only obvious things I conclude from the colorful graphs
is that Felix has faced a lot more lefties than righties. And really keeps the ball on the outside part of the plate against them.
And that he attacks lefties with the change up and righties with the slider.
Any way to get the data from different counts? Like what is Felix’s 3-2 pitch data for lefties/righties? Or what is his first pitch data?
The lefty/righty thing is weird
so far he’s faced 54% more lefties than righties. For his career, it’s 9%. That’ll even out over time, even though managers will try to stack their lineups.
We do have access to the count data, but right now the samples are too small.
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 22, 2008 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions
Although for the record
He’s 61% fastballs on the first pitch (18% curve).
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 22, 2008 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions
Tracking first pitch fastball % could be interesting
as well as OPS allowed on 1st pitches.
I would guess that teams are warning their players to lay off the power curve. Just watch it go by and wait for a change up or fastball they can handle.
I feel bad for pitchers....
This is just getting dumb. This is damn near to the point where every hitter will know what every pitcher throws, how hard he throws it and where he throws it in every possible situation. In 2025 every pitcher can throw like a 2001 Pedro Martinez and still have no chance.
Pitchers will also know...
...what every hitter swings at, and how best to exploit his approach at the plate. It’s not like hitters have a monopoly on the new data.
This is just not the case.
If you throw 70% fastballs, for instance, and so every player begins expecting a fastball 70% of the time, then you start throwing 70% changeups instead or 70% curveballs.
Felix doesn’t have to throw 60% fastballs, he does because it works.
...and now I'm here
Nothing has a chance vs Pedro in his prime.
Except maybe Bonds in his prime.
Well
they faced each other a lot over the years I’d imagine.
Although prime NL Pedro might have occurred before prime Bonds.
What do the H2H stats say?
Barry vs. Pedro.
43 PA, .333/.488/.576 (1.064 OPS), 1 HR, 3 2B, 1 3B, 10 BB, 8 K.
I reject your reality and substitute my own!
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 22, 2008 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions
At yo momma's house.
I like midgets more than I should.
Baseball-reference.
I reject your reality and substitute my own!
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 22, 2008 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions
Or you can look at it...
Raul Mondesi’s .150/.150/.150 against over 40 PA is pretty hilarious.
Gregg Jefferies, huh?
I reject your reality and substitute my own!
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 22, 2008 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions
There's a name I haven't heard in a while
My God he was like the second coming during his rookie year. Nothing like a hot start for a NY prospect.
This surprised me
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/pvb.cgi?n2=guilljo01&;n1=martipe02
...and now I'm here
Compare this to Pedro's career batting line against:
.210/.271/.329
I reject your reality and substitute my own!
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Apr 22, 2008 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Prime Pedro was 99-'01
I can’t even fathom his numbers in ‘99-’00.
430 IP, 597 K, 69 BB, 26 HR
I think my favorite stat was in ‘99 he had a .210 opponent’s average with a .344 BABIP.
And in 2000 In his six losses: 48 IP, 60 K, 6 BB, 30.
Fun from Wikipedia on that season:
-Martinez’s ERA in his losing games was less than the leading ERA total in the lower-scoring National League (Kevin Brown’s 2.58).
-Martinez’s first loss of the year was a 1-0 complete game in which he had 17 strikeouts and 1 walk.
Felix so far in 2008 is still behind pedros era+ for the entire 2000 season.
Not that fancy of a stat but still out of control.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/ERAplus_season.shtml
~60% Strike looking on the curve.
That’s sick.
...and now I'm here
By the way
Putz is supposedly being re-activated today.
didn't he throw that curve at 84?
just curious. Also, I’m surprised his avg FB is only 95, seems like its always hanging around 96 and jumping up to 98-99 here and again.
the artist formerly known as Mere Tantalisers.
by Bearskin Rugburn on Apr 22, 2008 2:15 PM PDT reply actions
if Jeff counts both two and four seamer as simply a fastball
that would explain it. Felix’s two-seamer runs between 93-96 usually.
No
this is another quirk of the pitch FX data. The pfz is the deviation from the theoretical flight of a ball with no spin. The less it breaks downwards, the higher the number. This is why fastballs tend to have high pfz, and curveballs are low (or negative). A value of zero in that plane means that it’s actually moving a fair bit as compared to a fastball. I still would’ve expected more in the pfx side though.
Can we have a game thread yet?
I need my sunshine and lollipops.
I like midgets more than I should.
I'm waiting to post one until the community settles down
that diary was a disaster.
by Jeff Sullivan on Apr 22, 2008 5:07 PM PDT up reply actions
Pretty much the only thing that will get me thru work
One more hour, I love Felix Day!
by seattlesundevil on Apr 22, 2008 5:09 PM PDT up reply actions
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Recent FanPosts
In Association With
Big League Stew - MLB - Yahoo! Sports
- College player makes impossible over the fence catch to save tournament game (Video)
- Security!: Camden Yards guard collides with Royals’ Mike Moustakas
- The Juice: Nelson Cruz matches career high eight RBIs, Pujols stays hot in Seattle
- Benches clear at Fenway as Red Sox-Rays rivalry heats up
- Keeping good company: Albert Pujols becomes fourth-youngest player to hit 450 home runs
