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6-7

The season flashed before my eyes today.

I first heard about the potential severity of Bedard's situation on Friday. It was rough to read, but without any official confirmation, I just watched the games and hoped the tip-off was untrue. The two wins certainly took away some of the sting. In fact, it was safe to say that by the time I went to bed last night, the condition of Bedard's hip was the furthest thing from my mind.

Then I woke up and it all came flooding back.

It's funny. During conversations back in February and March, the general consensus seemed to be that the M's would have at least a fighting chance as long as five players stayed healthy. Those five players - Ichiro, JJ, Felix, Bedard, and Beltre - form the core around which the Mariners hope to compete for the playoffs.

13 games into the year, three of those players are hurt. Granted, Beltre's hamstring is a minor issue that might resolve itself in time for tomorrow, but still, it's been two weeks and already it's pretty clear that we won't get the same luck with team health that we did in 2007. Our closer's out with what could become a nagging concern, and our big #1 is being hindered by something even more sinister. I know Angel fans won't have any sympathy given what they've had to deal with, but really, it would've been hard for this season to get off to a more discouraging start.

With Erik Bedard on the sidelines, I found it difficult to care too much about today's game either way. Because with Erik Bedard on the sidelines, Seattle is boned.

4_13_08_medium

Biggest Contribution: Greg Norton, +3.6%
Biggest Suckfest: Potatoes, -19.1%
Most Important AB: Burke double play, -15.0%
Most Important Pitch: Guerrero double, -19.7%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): -28.5%
Total Contribution by Hitters: -29.5%
Total Contribution by Opposition: +8.0%
(What is this chart?)

Star-divide

If you're ever trying to explain to a friend the concept of replacement level, point them to today. This was like a replacement-level tutorial. Bedard - a regular - got injured, so the team gave his start to its best possible substitute - Baek - who faced the same lineup that Bedard would've were it not for his wonkiness. And then you can simply tell your friend that Bedard's value over replacement level is how much better he would've done than Baek. It's not a perfect explanation, but it works pretty well, and then at least you'll be able to get something positive out of a day that would've been better off aborted.

I can't even imagine what the fans must've felt like as they sat in their seats and saw Cha Baek walk somberly out to the mound. At least, I can't even imagine what the hypothetical fans who deliberately buy tickets to see good pitchers must've felt like. Considering how empty it was on Friday for Felix Day against the Angels, I don't know if this fan base is aware enough to be disappointed when its #1 starting pitcher suddenly gets replaced by its #6 without warning.

In Baek's defense though, he couldn't have started the game any better. Chone Figgins led off with three consecutive called strikes, and five pitches later, the inning was over with Baek having thrown only a single ball. He's not a good pitcher, but that doesn't mean for certain periods of time he can't look like one, and early on he helped to alleviate some concerns that the game would quickly get out of hand.

Unfortunately the end of the top of the first brought us to the bottom, and I don't think anyone was particularly inspired by John McLaren's designated 6-7-8 of Morse/Cairo/Burke. I understand that there's a reason why each of them got to start today - the RF platoon, Beltre's hamstring, day game after a night game - but the unfortunate confluence of all these things with Bedard's late scratch made it seem like McLaren was conceding the game before it began. Even with Joe Saunders being a thoroughly mediocre nobody in every sense of the word, this wasn't a lineup that anyone expected to score many runs.

They certainly didn't in the first. But then that just gave Baek an opportunity to quickly come back out and look awesome again in the second, a scoreless inning highlighted by Garret Anderson taking an early nominee for The Worst Swing Of All Time (related to but separate from The Worst Pitch Of All Time).

Gaswing_medium

On an 0-1 count, Baek threw Anderson a slow curve down and in, and Anderson went after it as if it were a fastball at the belt. Almost immediately he realized it was a mistake, but being too late to check up, he tried to adjust his swing in the middle, with the result being that by the time Anderson's bat cleared the strike zone it was moving so slowly that even Erik Bedard could've withstood a body blow. 

As Baek recorded his second pop out of the inning to finish it off, it dawned on me that his entire game is about deception. When he's going well, batters take swings as if they're expecting the ball to get there quicker than it does. He throws a fastball in the low 90s, but he comes after guys with so much slop that a lot of hitters end up out in front. Just witness the Kendrick and Rivera pop outs in the second inning. They both popped out on curveballs because they thought they were getting a heater. This was Jeff Weaver's recipe for success when he had that streak a year ago, but Baek strikes me as being a little better at it. I really do think that, given the opportunity, Baek could make a lot of money in this league as a #4/5 starter. He just needs a little more durability and the chance that this team won't give him.

Somehow the Mariners actually mounted a bit of a rally in the bottom half. Joe Saunders is one of precious few arms in the league capable of loading the bases against the 4-7 hitters of today's lineup. We weren't yet out of the danger zone, though, because as much as everybody loves Jamie Burke, he's still a slow old catcher with an extremely limited history of success, and I think we're all kind of waiting for him to realize it. He took a pretty big step forward (or backward?) in that regard when he check-swinged his way into a momentum-crushing 1-2-3 double play. Burke's usually pretty good about knowing the zone and applying his puny swing only to certain strikes, but Saunders fooled him on a changeup at the shins, and Burke couldn't hold up. I think from now on any similar situations with Burke, Cairo, or Willie should call for an automatic squeeze bunt.

So to the third we went, where Baek got himself into trouble before nearly escaping. The first two batters reached on base hits, but Baek got to two outs before facing off against Vlad Guerrero. He pitched pretty well, too, getting to a 2-2 count without throwing anything in the zone, but then Vlad reached out and poked a low-away curveball into right field in front of a diving Mike Morse to put the Angels ahead 2-0. This is why so many people have difficultly evaluating pitchers. The box score there reads two earned runs charged to Baek, but in all honesty he made a perfect pitch, and Vlad just happened to extend his arms and get the kind of freakish hit that only Vlad can manage. A better right fielder might be able to make a catch, but that was just great hitting beating good pitching.

The double might have been prevented earlier on when Vlad hit a foul pop-up to the right side, but it came down in the camera well just out of Sexson's reach. We always hear about how Richie's really tall, but it seems he's never quite tall enough.

The 2-0 score remained intact into the fifth inning. Baek kept throwing like a replacement-level arm, with the varying results you'd expect, but not having had much of a chance to get his arm stretched out in preparation for a start, he was taken out with two on and one down after 85 pitches. Given the circumstances, I'm not sure the Mariners could've asked for much more. In came Eric O'Flaherty, who got Anderson to ground out and Kendrick to fly out to right to end the inning, only instead of catching Kendrick's fly ball, Mike Morse instead did the Fresh Prince Apache dance and Kendrick slid into second with an RBI double that just makes me want to dig up the graves of the people who invented the concepts of errors and earned runs and send the skulls and a bomb to whichever distant members of their families are still alive.The Angels would add another run when Raul Ibanez dove in front of a single and suddenly this game felt like it was showcasing every single one of our weaknesses.

The Mariner bats were kept quiet in their half, taking us to the sixth. Usually a short reliever, O'Flaherty was in the unenviable position of having to soak up innings with the pitching staff depleted, but for a while there he wasn't doing that poorly. He started off the sixth with a Juan Rivera fly out, and then got Jeff Mathis to pop a ball into right, but a diving Mike Morse couldn't come up with the catch and God I just can't write about this anymore

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So glad I missed this game.

I love how the recap doesn't even end with a period.

Felix Hernandez may be The King, but Justin Upton is a GOD.

GTE of the week:

"SEXSON WANTS TO TASTE THE MOTHERFUCKING CURB"

~Jordan of Boise

by Goose on Apr 13, 2008 6:54 PM PDT   0 recs

worse for me

I left my house with a smile that expected to go watch Erik Bedard pitch today. Before I left my neighborhood, I found out that I was seeing Baek, Cairo, Morse and Burke and nearly turned back home for my brown paper bag.

by batura on Apr 13, 2008 9:53 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

There is good news from today...

a significant % of the fan base realized today that Morse is not a "decent" or "mediocre" defensive outfielder. He's down right comically bad out there.

Now I can stop having those arguments.

by PLU Tim on Apr 13, 2008 6:56 PM PDT   0 recs

What roster moves are made based on today's game?

Baker seems to think that changes are coming quickly.

by BrianL on Apr 13, 2008 7:06 PM PDT   0 recs

The entire team gets demoted to AA.

Mariners get replaced by poo throwing monkeys. End the season 76-86

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on Apr 13, 2008 7:07 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

The FO defines replacement level as poo-throwing monkeys?

No wonder this team can't field a competitor.

by BrianL on Apr 13, 2008 7:10 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

What's worse -

half he team is below replacement level.

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on Apr 13, 2008 7:18 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

From what Mac said postgame

O'Flaherty to Tacoma wouldn't be a complete surprise; disappointing, but not surprising

by thenatural on Apr 13, 2008 7:08 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I don't see how

EOF could not go down after this game.

by borgy on Apr 13, 2008 7:08 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

my guesses

EOF down, Dickey or Rhodes up.

Morese = DL, Reed up.

Bradtastic!!

by MFAN on Apr 13, 2008 7:30 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

That ruins the platoon though!

because Wilk's left-handedness means he can't handle left handed pitching!

by Fin on Apr 13, 2008 7:31 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Norton got a hit right handed and played right field

I have a BAD feeling the platoon will continue, even if Morse is on the DL.

Bradtastic!!

by MFAN on Apr 13, 2008 7:34 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

When a game leaves me longing for WFB

you know that's a bad sign. And, God, Mike Morse sucks.

--Dave
Addicted to Quack, SBN's Oregon Ducks blog

by Addicted to Quack on Apr 13, 2008 7:15 PM PDT   0 recs

haha agreed

Willie wouldn't have been as bad in RF. The best was when Morse proceeded to dive, hurt himself then fuck us more by staying in.

by phil333 on Apr 13, 2008 7:20 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

On Baker's blog

Larry Stone is filling in and he doesn't update as much as Baker. One of the posters who claims to have been in the clubhouse says EOF is down, Dickey is up.

by OldFan on Apr 13, 2008 7:24 PM PDT   0 recs

Eh. I'll believe it when it happens.

There's no way Squinty is going to have a bullpen with one lefthander.

by BrianL on Apr 13, 2008 7:26 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Certainly feasible

but yeah, I'll wait until I hear some confirmation

by thenatural on Apr 13, 2008 7:32 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

That's kind of funny

Given he hardly uses the other one.

by Gomez on Apr 13, 2008 7:34 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

So far he's been using his bullpen like he's had only 1 left-hander

I mean, having Green pitching to lefties so much defies logic, and knowledge of two lefty relievers on the bench.

by OlSalty on Apr 13, 2008 7:34 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Lefty vs. Long man?

Right now there is no long man for Beluga Tits or Washburn unless you go with RRS in that role.

by PLU Tim on Apr 13, 2008 8:03 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I was at the game.

Bought the ticket for Bedard day. Ferried over from the Kitsap Peninsula, walked in the stadium and was greeted by Baek, Morse and Cairo.

If ever a game deserved a refund it was this one. What a complete fucking waste of three hours.

Fuckin' Richie Sexson man!

by TheBishop on Apr 13, 2008 7:36 PM PDT   0 recs

I feel sorry for you!

I ended up going on friday at the last minute to watch Felix pitch. Glad I chose Friday over today to go.

by Fin on Apr 13, 2008 7:38 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I still think McLaren just decided this game was a wash

When he found out Bedard couldn't pitch, (and because he has very little confidence in Baek) so he decided to play most of his bench, and to keep O'Flaherty in when he clearly should've been taken out much sooner.

Which is a shame, because the Angels pitching really isn't that good right now, and this game was winnable if you don't sabotage it by putting both Morse and Cairo in the same lineup.

by OlSalty on Apr 13, 2008 7:56 PM PDT   0 recs

That's disturbing.

Do playoff teams concede a game because an SP isn't available? Against a division rival?

by BrianL on Apr 13, 2008 8:00 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Well, no one really condedes a game.

But options were limited and it's still early. Depth isn't really our strongsuit.

by ThundaPC on Apr 13, 2008 8:18 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I dunno

I think Beltre might have played, but other than that its the standard lineup they would have sent out. EOF staying in too long I pretty much agree with...

by thenatural on Apr 13, 2008 8:01 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

wow

I don't know what I'm more surprised about. The fact that you were able to write as much as you did about this white-flag-fest or that you were able to even write coherently after watching the OF butcher ball after ball after ball.

by derban on Apr 13, 2008 8:05 PM PDT   0 recs

damn

what a sad day. The M's should have never traded for Bedard. The M's made a smart move in Silva. If the M's got another pitcher off the market, should it have been Lohse or somebody else?

by althemarinerfan on Apr 13, 2008 8:41 PM PDT   0 recs

If you don't go after Bedard

You might as well not have Silva. $48 Million, 4 years for a middle-of-rotation starter? The whole (FO) idea behind getting Bedard is to make a serious run to the playoffs. Otherwise, you might as well continue looking for cheap logical upgrades over the next few years.

by ThundaPC on Apr 13, 2008 8:47 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

No more terrible than Silva

And a lot cheaper. It's just that Lohse is apparently an ass and Silva is apparently easy to get along with, so Silva gets the megamillions while Lohse gets just one year.

by ubelmann on Apr 14, 2008 12:08 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

About four times a year

I decide to check in over at HH. And every time, I come away disappointed.

God, HH sucks.

--Dave
Addicted to Quack, SBN's Oregon Ducks blog

by Addicted to Quack on Apr 13, 2008 8:54 PM PDT   0 recs

One thing it does do

...makes me appreciate Jeff and company over here. Jeff writes a lengthy yet entertaining post after a loss, while all the Rev can come up with is "The Seattle Mariners are terrible.". Wow, really, Rev?

I doubt he even realized that they were facing our #6 instead of our #1...not to mention our entire bench instead of our normal lineup. Congrats, Angels, on finally beating a team that got swept by the Orioles.

I'm more like I am now than I've ever been.

by ralphie81 on Apr 13, 2008 10:34 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Let's not forget that he dissed our women.

Hell to pay. Hell. To. Pay.

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on Apr 13, 2008 11:27 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Nevermind

I went over to HH, and it looked very dumbed down from here. I really shouldn't t take for granted LL or USSM. But I did notice some Mariners fans trolling, even after people told me I shouldn't before the game started.

Also, I bet we could also find a couple ugly bitches over at Angels Stadium holding up the rally monkey no problem. My hatred for the Angels has atleast doubled after going on that moronic excuse of a blog.

by Fin on Apr 14, 2008 12:55 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Yep.

...and now I'm here

by Librocrat on Apr 14, 2008 1:10 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I will say

that the end of Jeff's writeup concerning this game is one of the funnier things I've ever seen from him.

by BrianL on Apr 13, 2008 8:55 PM PDT   0 recs

It is funny

It also worries me.

by Gomez on Apr 13, 2008 9:14 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Well he -is- the only bench player with some usefulness

Besides WFB and Burke, so I don't mind him so much. The others are just redundant.

At least Norton has a little bit of power in the right situation.

by OlSalty on Apr 13, 2008 10:37 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

They usually replay a daytime M's game at night

Replay is curiously absent tonight.

by Gomez on Apr 13, 2008 10:14 PM PDT   0 recs

JJ, Beltre' and Bedard hurt?

Lets go Rays!

Hard work never killed nobody, but I won't take my chances.

by JAH on Apr 13, 2008 11:15 PM PDT   0 recs

5 runs with that lineup is a fucking miracle

Seriously, we played almost our entire bench and still scored 5 runs, that's how bad the Angels pitching is right now.

by OlSalty on Apr 14, 2008 9:39 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

"Mike Morse instead did the Fresh Prince Apache dance"

I cried. Then hit YouTube and cried some more. Thank you.

P.S. I finally bought an A/C unit today. It's still not quite enough. Fuck the sun.

by Teej on Apr 14, 2008 2:15 AM PDT   0 recs

Well it was 96 yesterday...

at least you probably weren't dumb enough to go stand in the blazing sun at UCSD waiting to get into a dance competition. Oh well, at least it's next to the ocean

by seattlebruin on Apr 14, 2008 8:27 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I spent all day in Serra Mesa playing softball.

When it's so hot that having a beer outside makes you feel ill, life sucks.

by Teej on Apr 14, 2008 12:33 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

I wouldn't say Angels fans have no sympathy.

Rather, we're in a unique position to sympathize, in that we know exactly what it feels like. The injury bug has taken a fearsome toll on the Angels and M's to start the season. While one can reasonably expect that Beltre and Kendrick return quickly, the injuries to the pitchers are more worrisome.

Franky seems to think all he needed was a few days off, and he pitched okay on Sunday, but this ankle condition could easily turn out to be much more dangerous. Putz's injury appears to be just one of those freak injuries you hope never comes up again, he should be back by the end of this week. John Lackey's return is still looking like early to mid May, but you can never tell if they're giving you the straight dope with this stuff. Kelvim Escobar...well, I wish him the best this week. He could still be okay, hell, he might even pitch this year, but the chances are depressingly low. Finally we come to Bedard whose hip inflammation problem may become a recurring story this season. Jeff says it's worse than they make it sound, but still nothing on just how bad it is.

So thats the situation. And while it could always be worse, the good news is that for most of these injuries, things can also get better. Perhaps it's because the Angels start slow a lot (From 2002 to now, our best April start is 14-10), but our current position doesn't bother me. There's lots to be excited about for Angels fans, and I think that's true for the M's as well. Like what, you ask? Well I'll forgo mentioning why I'm excited for the Halos, but for starters, it seems your middle infield has magically learned how to hit, Richie Sexson is walking almost as much as he strikes out and owns a robust .394 OBP, you lead the league in walks, Carlos Silva is off to a surprisingly solid start, and some over-the-hill OF by the name of Ibanez is second in the AL in HRs. Oh, and you no longer occupy the AL West basement, courtesy of Texas getting swept by the Blue Jays.

So there's no point in giving up quite yet M's fans, your team's really not doing that badly. And it could be worse, you could be cheering for the Tigers. ^_^

*Visiting Angels fan* Never give up, never surrender!

by TheOptimist on Apr 14, 2008 9:30 AM PDT   0 recs

Thank you

For a serious/good post from a rival fan.

by phil333 on Apr 14, 2008 11:32 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

That was a good read

Good to think that people who aren't fans of our team actually think we're competitive.

by Fin on Apr 14, 2008 1:55 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Things that amuse me - SiteMeter

You can check the search words that refer people to any given site. Look at HH here. Player A and "drinking in public at dodger stadium" both get you to HH...

by seattlebruin on Apr 14, 2008 10:43 AM PDT   0 recs