My NCAA Tournament Projections.
If the favorites win tomorrow.
EAST REGION [Charlotte, NC]
#1 North Carolina (32-2) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#2 Georgetown (27-5) {Big East Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#3 Xavier (27-6) {Atlantic Ten Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#4 Connecticut (24-8) {Big East Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#5 Michigan State (25-8) {Big Ten Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#6 Arkansas (23-10) {Southeastern Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#7 Southern California (21-11) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#8 Mississippi State (22-10) {Southeastern Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#9 Davidson (26-6) {Southern Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#10 Miami (22-10) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#11 Illinois State (24-9) {Missouri Valley Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#12 Saint Joseph's (21-12) {Atlantic Ten Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#13 Cornell (22-5) {Ivy League} [Washington, D.C.]
#14 Siena (22-10) {Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#15 American (21-11) {Patriot League} [Tampa, FL]
#16 Mississippi Valley State (17-15) {Southwestern Athletic Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#17 Coppin State (16-20) {Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
MIDWEST REGION [Detroit, MI]
#1 Tennessee (29-4) {Southeastern Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#2 Duke (27-5) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#3 Wisconsin (29-4) {Big Ten Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#4 Pittsburgh (26-9) {Big East Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#5 Purdue (24-8) {Big Ten Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#6 Drake (28-4) {Missouri Valley Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#7 Gonzaga (25-7) {West Coast Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#8 Oklahoma (22-11) {Big Twelve Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#9 UNLV (26-7) {Mountain West Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#10 Baylor (21-10) {Big Twelve Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#11 Arizona (19-14) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#12 Oregon (18-13) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#13 Oral Roberts (24-8) {Summit League} [Little Rock, AR]
#14 Austin Peay (24-10) {Ohio Valley Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#15 Belmont (25-8) {Atlantic Sun Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#16 Mount Saint Mary's (18-14) {Northeast Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
SOUTH REGION [Houston, TX]
#1 Memphis (33-1) {Conference USA} [Birmingham, AL]
#2 Kansas (31-3) {Big Twelve Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#3 Stanford (26-7) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#4 Louisville (24-8) {Big East Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#5 Clemson (24-9) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#6 Vanderbilt (26-7) {Southeastern Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#7 West Virginia (24-10) {Big East Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#8 Texas A&M (24-10) {Big Twelve Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#9 Saint Mary's (25-6) {West Coast Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#10 South Alabama (26-6) {Sun Belt Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#11 Temple (21-12) {Atlantic Ten Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#12 Arizona State (19-12) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#13 George Mason (23-10) {Colonial Athletic Association} [Tampa, FL]
#14 Winthrop (22-11) {Big South Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#15 Maryland-Baltimore County (24-8) {America East Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#16 Texas-Arlington (21-11) {Southland Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
WEST REGION [Phoenix, AZ]
#1 UCLA (31-3) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#2 Texas (28-6) {Big Twelve Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#3 Butler (29-3) {Horizon League} [Denver, CO]
#4 Notre Dame (24-7) {Big East Conference} [Denver, CO]
#5 Indiana (25-7) {Big Ten Conference} [Denver, CO]
#6 Washington State (24-8) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Denver, CO]
#7 Marquette (24-9) {Big East Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#8 Brigham Young (27-7) {Mountain West Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#9 Kansas State (20-11) {Big Twelve Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#10 Kent State (28-6) {Mid-American Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#11 Kentucky (18-12) {Southeastern Conference} [Denver, CO]
#12 Western Kentucky (27-6) {Sun Belt Conference} [Denver, CO]
#13 Boise State (25-8) {Western Athletic Conference} [Denver, CO]
#14 San Diego (21-13) {West Coast Conference} [Denver, CO]
#15 California State-Fullerton (24-8) {Big West Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#16 Portland State (23-9) {Big Sky Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
If the underdogs win tomorrow.
EAST REGION [Charlotte, NC]
#1 North Carolina (31-3) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#2 Georgetown (27-5) {Big East Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#3 Xavier (27-6) {Atlantic Ten Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#4 Connecticut (24-8) {Big East Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#5 Michigan State (25-8) {Big Ten Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#6 Southern California (21-11) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#7 Arkansas (22-11) {Southeastern Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#8 Mississippi State (22-10) {Southeastern Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#9 Davidson (26-6) {Southern Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#10 Miami (22-10) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#11 Western Kentucky (27-6) {Sun Belt Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#12 George Mason (23-10) {Colonial Athletic Association} [Washington, D.C.]
#13 Cornell (22-5) {Ivy League} [Washington, D.C.]
#14 Siena (22-10) {Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference} [Washington, D.C.]
#15 American (21-11) {Patriot League} [Tampa, FL]
#16 Mississippi Valley State (17-15) {Southwestern Athletic Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
MIDWEST REGION [Detroit, MI]
#1 Tennessee (29-4) {Southeastern Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#2 Duke (27-5) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#3 Wisconsin (28-5) {Big Ten Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#4 Pittsburgh (26-9) {Big East Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#5 Purdue (24-8) {Big Ten Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#6 Drake (28-4) {Missouri Valley Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#7 Gonzaga (25-7) {West Coast Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#8 Oklahoma (22-11) {Big Twelve Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#9 UNLV (26-7) {Mountain West Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#10 Baylor (21-10) {Big Twelve Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#11 Arizona (19-14) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#12 Oregon (18-13) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#13 Oral Roberts (24-8) {Summit League} [Little Rock, AR]
#14 Georgia (17-16) {Southeastern Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#15 Belmont (25-8) {Atlantic Sun Conference} [Raleigh, NC]
#16 Mount Saint Mary's (18-14) {Northeast Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
SOUTH REGION [Houston, TX]
#1 Memphis (33-1) {Conference USA} [Birmingham, AL]
#2 Kansas (30-4) {Big Twelve Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#3 Stanford (26-7) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#4 Louisville (24-8) {Big East Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#5 Clemson (25-8) {Atlantic Coast Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#6 Vanderbilt (26-7) {Southeastern Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#7 West Virginia (24-10) {Big East Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#8 Texas A&M (24-10) {Big Twelve Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#9 Saint Mary's (25-6) {West Coast Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#10 South Alabama (26-6) {Sun Belt Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#11 Temple (21-12) {Atlantic Ten Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#12 Arizona State (19-12) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#13 Winthrop (22-11) {Big South Conference} [Tampa, FL]
#14 Austin Peay (24-10) {Ohio Valley Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#15 Maryland-Baltimore County (24-8) {America East Conference} [Omaha, NE]
#16 Northwestern State (16-17) {Southland Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
#17 Coppin State (16-20) {Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference} [Birmingham, AL]
WEST REGION [Phoenix, AZ]
#1 UCLA (31-3) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#2 Texas (29-5) {Big Twelve Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#3 Butler (29-3) {Horizon League} [Denver, CO]
#4 Notre Dame (24-7) {Big East Conference} [Denver, CO]
#5 Indiana (25-7) {Big Ten Conference} [Denver, CO]
#6 Washington State (24-8) {Pacific Ten Conference} [Denver, CO]
#7 Marquette (24-9) {Big East Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#8 Brigham Young (27-7) {Mountain West Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#9 Kansas State (20-11) {Big Twelve Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
#10 Kent State (28-6) {Mid-American Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#11 Kentucky (18-12) {Southeastern Conference} [Denver, CO]
#12 Boise State (25-8) {Western Athletic Conference} [Denver, CO]
#13 San Diego (21-13) {West Coast Conference} [Denver, CO]
#14 Illinois (17-18) {Big Ten Conference} [Denver, CO]
#15 California State-Fullerton (24-8) {Big West Conference} [Little Rock, AR]
#16 Portland State (23-9) {Big Sky Conference} [Anaheim, CA]
Those are my projected brackets.
0 recs |
120
comments
Comments
You misspelled Villanova.
Not to mention So. Alabama and Illinois St.
Just compare the resumes and you'll see that we are better than all of those teams.
by dbroncos31 on Mar 15, 2008 10:17 PM PDT 0 recs
The Big East may send 8 teams
Just about every bubble team has choked this last couple days, though I'm torn on Nova. I can see the Pac 10 sending 6 teams (UCLA, Stanford, WSU, USC, Arizona, Oreogn)
Nova has a lot of quality wins, but losing to DePaul and that 5 game skid sure doesn't help. The Big East could send 8 teams, but someone may have to get royally screwed for Nova to get in.
I find Jeff Sagarin's ratings a pretty solid barometer of team quality, and he has Nova 52nd while the aforementioned Pac 10 teams are in the top 40. That said, the Big East is really good this year, and Nova does have 5 top 50 wins, so I could see them getting a spot.
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 10:25 PM PDT
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The objective analyst within me ...
The problem with Villanova, Ohio State, and Massachusetts is that those teams don't have the conference record to compete with Kentucky, the SOS to compete with Arizona, and the RPI to compete with Southern Alabama and Illinois State. Oregon and Arizona State, moreover, play in the nation's toughest conference.
That's my observation.
by AK1984 on
Mar 15, 2008 10:27 PM PDT
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Idk,
Villanova has a top-50 RPI, has wins over 5 NCAA teams (UConn, WV, GMU, Temple, Pitt) incl. a bullshit loss to G-Town. We've also beaten a solid Syracuse team twice, and were no joke robbed against NC State. Also we were .500 in one of the toughest conferences in the nation.
IMO, we're in barring shenanigans with the B10 and SEC tomorrow
by dbroncos31 on
Mar 15, 2008 10:51 PM PDT
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As was with Virginia Tech, Villanova ...
North Carolina and Georgetown have seemingly sent VT and 'nova, respectively, to the NIT. The Wildcats still have a better chance than the Hokies at dancing tomorrow, but it's a slim shot nonetheless.
by AK1984 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:03 PM PDT
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Big difference, though,
We have beaten Pitt (BE Champ) and UConn in the Top 25, WV and Temple in the top 50. This excludes Syracuse twice, who was an NCAA team till we thrashed them.
Our resume is 1000x better than VT's.
by dbroncos31 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:12 PM PDT
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I don't think you guys are in
Just goes to show what one horrible call can do to your season. I'm sure seattlesundevil has the same thought right now.
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:07 PM PDT
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Speaking of horrible calls
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:09 PM PDT
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What's wrong with you, Gomez?
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:39 PM PDT
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Well, postage DID go up to 42 cents
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:55 PM PDT
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I think we have a better resume than
We are an NCAA Tournament team; I just hope the
committee agrees.
by dbroncos31 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:45 PM PDT
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Illinois State's resume is nothing to write home
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:05 PM PDT
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U! N! L! V! U-N-L-V GO FIGHT WIN
They were slamming and were racing, they were burning up the court left and right...
There was nothing that could stop em as they drove on down the lane
Fans were going crazy you could hear them start to scream
I got Runnin' Rebel Fever burning up my mind!
My elementary school principal played that song on the loudspeakers every freaking day during the UNLV tourney runs in 1991 and 1992. I wish I could find video or audio of that damn song so I could share the grating cheese with all of you.
Also, if you told me when I moved here years ago that by 2008 UNLV would have a better basketball program than UW, I'd have thought you were crazy.
by Gomez on Mar 15, 2008 10:17 PM PDT 0 recs
It can't hurt when the conference
by skijake1 on
Mar 15, 2008 10:48 PM PDT
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They won last year's too
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:08 PM PDT
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You remember incorrectly
I'm not saying UNLV doesn't have a good team. I'm just saying that playing on your home court is a HUGE advantage in college basketball. It's why UNLV has won so many MWC tourneys.
The MWC bball tourney needs a neutral court. Playing at Thomas & Mack is not a long term solution.
by skijake1 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:28 PM PDT
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I think the problem
I'd be okay with moving the tourney to sites near other MWC schools, though. I thought they were in the first place.
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:32 PM PDT
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You're Right
Vegas is clearly the best of a bunch of bad options. If they could play it at another court in Vegas--anywhere but Thomas & Mack--that would negate some of the home court advantage and make the tournament a little more fair.
I dunno.
by skijake1 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:37 PM PDT
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It's too bad
It's also not a unique problem to the MWC. Half of the ACC teams are in two states. A lot of Big East teams are close to NYC. The tourney sites inevitably favor certain teams over others. But I do agree that a tourney should alternate between different sites each year.
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:54 PM PDT
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On that subject, the Pac Ten
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:56 PM PDT
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It must be noted
by Gomez on Mar 15, 2008 10:44 PM PDT 0 recs
I hope the favorites win tomorrow
by MFAN on Mar 15, 2008 11:09 PM PDT 0 recs
Georgia has to be out of gas
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:10 PM PDT
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lol, seriously that was crazy
Boise st vs New mexico st. was also crazy.
by MFAN on
Mar 15, 2008 11:11 PM PDT
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I think Georgia would be deserving
That and no one on the bubble is particularly deserving this year. If they were, they would have won on Bubble Carnage Thursday.
The only bubble team that I think is really deserving right now is Saint Joseph's.
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:11 PM PDT
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that is true
I respect what Georgia and Illinois have done, and I won't root against them, but I'd rather not have him them in the dance.
Not a big deal though, I'll still be watching every minute of the tourney.
by MFAN on
Mar 15, 2008 11:15 PM PDT
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Kind of nitpicking
Though Wisconsin sure looks like a 2 right now.
by seattlebruin on Mar 15, 2008 11:10 PM PDT 0 recs
I'm gonna post a mock bracket soon
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:10 PM PDT
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Wisconsin might get a #2 seed ...
I don't see either scenario coming to fruition, though.
by AK1984 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:32 PM PDT
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My order is
Tennessee, B12 Loser, Duke, Team X
57 teams that have no chance to win the national title.
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:41 PM PDT
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Okay, mock bracket
I do, however, make sure to maintain separation between conference teams, so that none of them can possibly meet before the regional final.
EAST REGION
1 North Carolina
16 Coppin State/Miss Valley St
8 Kansas State
9 St. Mary's
4 Michigan State
13 Oral Roberts
5 West Virginia
12 Ole Miss
3 Texas
14 Boise State
6 Butler
11 Arizona State
7 Gonzaga
10 Ohio State
2 Georgetown
15 Portland State
WEST REGION
1 UCLA
16 Mount St Mary's
8 Purdue
9 Vanderbilt
4 Drake
13 Cal State Fullerton
5 Pittsburgh
12 Temple
3 Stanford
14 San Diego
6 Clemson
11 Syracuse
7 Texas A&M
10 Arkansas
2 Wisconsin
15 Maryland Baltimore County
SOUTH REGION
1 Memphis
16 Texas-Arlington
8 Oklahoma
9 Oregon
4 Marquette
13 George Mason
5 Indiana
12 UNLV
3 Washington State
14 Winthrop
6 Connecticut
11 Illinois State
7 Davidson
10 Miami-Fla
2 Tennessee
15 Belmont
MIDWEST REGION
1 Kansas
16 American
8 BYU
9 Mississippi State
4 Louisville
13 Siena
5 USC
12 Western Kentucky
3 Xavier
14 Cornell
6 Notre Dame
11 Kent State
7 Arizona
10 Baylor
2 Duke
15 Austin Peay
Now... provided there are upsets tomorrow, my four bubble teams, in order: Ole Miss, Syracuse, Illinois State and Arizona State.
by Gomez on Mar 15, 2008 11:28 PM PDT 0 recs
I think you have
Purdue and Vandy are criminally underseeded - I actually think those are the two biggest dark horses out there.
Otherwise, I really liked your bracket, although I'm not so sure Ole Miss belongs anywhere near the tourney.
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:43 PM PDT
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I meant to hit reply this during my last post.
After Syracuse lost to Villanova during the first-round of the Big East Conference Tournament, its fate was signed, sealed, and delivered to the NIT selection committee.
by AK1984 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:44 PM PDT
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Yeah
by Gomez on
Mar 15, 2008 11:50 PM PDT
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Don't want to be a dick, but
Syracuse cannot not possibly be in above Nova; therefore, no Nova, no Cuse
by dbroncos31 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:51 PM PDT
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BYU is the land of Mormons, so ..
Mississippi isn't even a bubble team in my book.
by AK1984 on Mar 15, 2008 11:40 PM PDT 0 recs
On BYU
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:41 PM PDT
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Yeah, that's why my bracket ...
by AK1984 on
Mar 15, 2008 11:45 PM PDT
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Yay for Anaheim!
Cost to me - $43/ticket =D
by seattlebruin on
Mar 15, 2008 11:50 PM PDT
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Maybe my interest for NCAA B-ball
by Mariner John on Mar 16, 2008 12:15 AM PDT 0 recs
LET'S GO MEMPHIS!
by acblue on Mar 16, 2008 4:19 AM PDT 0 recs
Portland State's gonna get hosed...
by Patrick517 on Mar 16, 2008 7:38 AM PDT 0 recs
whoops!
I'm a dumbass.
by Patrick517 on
Mar 16, 2008 8:51 AM PDT
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They'll get a 15 seed
by Gomez on
Mar 16, 2008 3:02 PM PDT
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My projection...
by MarinerintheDistrict on Mar 16, 2008 8:46 AM PDT 0 recs
Fun fact
by Gomez on
Mar 16, 2008 3:03 PM PDT
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I'm just pissed Gonzaga blew it
by JI on Mar 16, 2008 8:55 AM PDT 0 recs
Speaking of neutral-site conference tourneys
Starting next year, the WCC is taking its tournament to the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. That should be neutral enough, as the WCC does not have a school in Nevada; the closest schools are in the L.A. area.
by Soaker on
Mar 16, 2008 10:22 AM PDT
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I know.
Great farce or greatest farce?
Considering SD is the only team that's won it besides GONZ in the last ten years, and both were major upsets on their home court.
If they weren't going to play at a neutral site, they should play it on the home court of the #1 seed. Yeah, it's not realistic, but it's fair.
//GTE
by JI on
Mar 16, 2008 12:03 PM PDT
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Yeah, the lowest conferences do this
The conferences just have this problem with seeing $$$ in centralized big city sites, which is half sensible and half pointless.
by Gomez on
Mar 16, 2008 3:05 PM PDT
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If they hadn't moved it to a neutral site
by JI on
Mar 16, 2008 3:45 PM PDT
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Go Cougs!!
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on Mar 16, 2008 2:16 PM PDT 0 recs
There are two things wrong with this comment.
by Librocrat on
Mar 16, 2008 2:57 PM PDT
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College basketball > everything in the world
by seattlebruin on
Mar 17, 2008 11:51 AM PDT
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Sex > either one
by pdb on
Mar 17, 2008 11:52 AM PDT
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I'm a big enough nerd to be willing to say
And most of them involve a personal computer.
by Llewdor on
Mar 18, 2008 9:42 AM PDT
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For big enough nerds
by Librocrat on
Mar 18, 2008 10:31 AM PDT
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What you don't say
by pdb on
Mar 18, 2008 12:30 PM PDT
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What you did on your first date
by pdb on
Mar 18, 2008 12:56 PM PDT
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