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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

NL lineups by WAR

Same disclaimers as last time, only now we're looking at the superior league.

NL EAST

PHI, 24.01, ATL 21.49, NYM 21.30, FLA 18.72, WAS 16.72

NL CENTRAL

CHC 22.24, STL 21.49, MIL 19.87, CIN 18.64, HOU 13.99, PIT 13.21

NL WEST

COL 18.39, SF 17.25, LA 17.18, AZ 15.28, SD 13.06

 

Star-divide

Random stuff:

-Ryan Howard was roughly the sixth best position player on the Phillies last year. I'd bet even money that he'll bounce back and be at least half as good as Chase Utley in 2009.

-The Cubs are annoying

-Aaron Boone is bad at baseball

-Brad Hawpe was easily my favorite player to project

-Bocock! was the first

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I tried to look at the spreadsheets, but it said I didn’t have access. One thing I found interesting is that the Giants offense isn’t as awful as it’s made out to be (that’s not to say it’s good).

With our staff and improved bullpen, we should have a shot at winning the West.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Dec 26, 2008 9:38 PM PST reply actions  

If you're interested

Signing up for Google docs takes about 20 seconds

by JI on Dec 26, 2008 9:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Plus I wouldn't get too excited

Marcels seems to overvalue young players a little

by JI on Dec 26, 2008 9:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Too excited

I’m definitely not that, I just think next year should be interesting for Giants fans. We’ve improved our team quite a bit this offseason, and the other teams have all taken steps back.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Dec 26, 2008 9:43 PM PST up reply actions  

I hope that's not true.

You're trying to kidnap what I've rightfully stolen.

by Sentinel on Dec 30, 2008 3:34 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm an idiot and hit the "enter" key.

Anyway, I hope your comment on Marcels isn’t true. Otherwise, Wlad is looking pretty bad right now.

2009 Marcels Projection for Balentien
.239/.298/.402, 10 HR, 37 RBI

Ugh.

You're trying to kidnap what I've rightfully stolen.

by Sentinel on Dec 30, 2008 3:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Hmm

I didn’t realize I had to sign up. I am already logged into my gmail account, what else do I need to do?

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Dec 26, 2008 9:42 PM PST up reply actions  

It's weird

I’ve looked at Google docs before, for example I looked at your NL WAR (Hitters) spreadsheet the other day. These aren’t working for some reason though. Clicking on Docs brings me to what amounts to an Inbox of docs I’ve looked at recently, but I don’t seem to be able to sign up for anything.

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Dec 26, 2008 9:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Yup

It’s working for me now. Thanks!

When I was a kid I used to pray every night for a new bicycle. Then I realized God doesn’t work that way, so I stole one and prayed for forgiveness. - Emo Philips

Neglectful father of David Quinowski

by marcello on Dec 26, 2008 10:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't get too excited

Marcel doesn’t look at minor league stats and doesn’t regress toward the mean, so it’s very inaccurate when dealing with players without a lot of MLB playing (usually way too optimistic). Check out what Marcel projects for Burriss, Sandoval, Ishikawa and Velez. The projections range from optimistic (Ish) to ridiculous (Burriss).

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Dec 27, 2008 2:09 PM PST up reply actions  

You can get Marcels

At FanGraphs, by the way.

..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.

by Cookyman on Dec 27, 2008 2:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Marcels regress towards league average.

it’s 5/4/3 for the last 3 seasons plus 2 seasons of league average.

So a player with no ML data whatsoever projects as league average.

---
Juuuust a bit outside!!
http://www.rightfieldbleachers.com

by Jack Moore on Dec 27, 2008 9:20 PM PST up reply actions  

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