Approximate Championship Odds
by Jeff
on Oct 3, 2008 10:51 AM PDT
in Miscellaneous
Simple calculations, assuming every game is nothing but a coin flip:
Dodgers: 22%
Phillies: 22%
Rays: 17%
Red Sox: 17%
White Sox: 8%
Angels: 8%
Brewers: 3%
Cubs: 3%
Obviously not the most accurate way to do it, but considering how closely matched the teams are by this point in the season, coin flips get you most of the way there.
I wonder what, if anything, yesterday is going to do to Sabathia's FA contract.
Edit: skip this post and just go here
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Not that I want to make light of what you've done or anything but...
Baseball Prospectus does it better.
by lailaihei on Oct 3, 2008 11:16 AM PDT 0 recs
I had forgotten that these exist
Yes, they do it a lot better.
by Jeff on
Oct 3, 2008 11:17 AM PDT
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Turns out Furcal and Manny
are several wins better than Berroa and Pierre/Jones
9=8
by JI on
Oct 3, 2008 11:46 AM PDT
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The Cubs were far and away the best team in the NL by BP's measures
so they would have had the easiest road to the WS.
I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.
by Llewdor on
Oct 3, 2008 12:23 PM PDT
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Amusing that even being up 2-0
the Phillies and Dodgers are less favoured than the Rays and Red Sox to win the world series.
Aside from the Cubs the NL was just bad this season.
I like using semi-colons; they make me feel smart.
by Llewdor on
Oct 3, 2008 12:26 PM PDT
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Also
http://www.coolstandings.com/playoff_standings2.asp?i=1
Close to the same numbers, but better formatting, IMO.
by AnotherAaron on Oct 3, 2008 12:23 PM PDT 0 recs
Poor Jeff :(
Determined, Jonesing Commentor | Proud proprietor of Washingtonhighways.org
by I'm NOT Corco on
Oct 3, 2008 12:48 PM PDT
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