12-10, Some Stuff
One of life's greatest pursuits is the desire to gain knowledge of how other people think about us. It may not apply to everyone, but generally speaking, the majority of us spend a lot of time wondering how we're perceived by outside observers. It seems silly and childish, but I think it's a perfectly natural impulse, and not something worth fighting provided it doesn't consume you.
The reason I bring this up is that, after today, I think I'm finally beginning to understand what it must've been like to face the Mariners over the past few years. I don't see the White Sox as much of a threat, and I hardly get all worked up about playing them, so the whole thing is just kind of 'blah', and you hope that in the end you've managed to come out ahead without putting the entire lifeless crowd to sleep. Just as the Mariners fought through a phase of irrelevance, so I perceived the White Sox today. It's weird, and it probably would've been different were Jim Thome in the lineup, but there you go. This is basically what it felt like to beat us - something sorta neat on the road to much more important, entertaining contests. It's actually kind of comforting to know that the Mariners were able to take some of the fun out of baseball for other people, too. The bad Mariner teams may not have obstructed anyone's success, but they damn sure made the fans enjoy it a little less.
Which isn't to say that I'm not having fun or anything, because this is a hell of a lot better than losing six in a row. I'll just be wearing a broader smile if the winning keeps up in New York.
- I can sit here and talk until I'm blue in the face about how Batista's start today wasn't repeatable, but I'm not going to do that. You know why? Chicago has a team .239 BABIP. .239. That's 50 points below the current league average. This team sucks at hitting, so why should I criticize Batista for letting a crappy lineup put the ball in play and get itself out? He's shown the ability to miss a few bats this year, so as far as I'm concerned, today he went out there with the express intent of letting the White Sox own themselves. It's not the kind of approach that you can use over a full season, but in an individual game against a weak opponent when you want to keep the bullpen fresh, why not? There's nothing wrong with a little deliberate laziness.
- Dave Sims' first guess as to how many pitches Jose Vidro sees per plate appearance: 9. His second guess: 6-7. Reality? 3.5. Sims then said that Vidro must be far and away the most patient hitter on the team. His P/PA actually ranks sixth on the roster among qualified hitters, between Betancourt and Guillen. Dave Sims, meet statistics. Statistics, Dave Sims. I still like the guy as a broadcaster, but it's painfully obvious that he hasn't been doing this too long.
- Speaking of Sims, at one point Blowers asked him for his thoughts on Matsuzaka being eligible for the Rookie of the Year. Sims stammered out the first sentence of a response when Blowers realized this wasn't going anywhere, summed up his own opinion in a few words, and changed the subject. I don't bring this up to poke fun at Sims' lack of insight, though, but rather because it reminds me of the 2000 season, when I used to debate with an A's fan by the screenname of "MrSeanJazz" practically every day about Kaz Sasaki vs. Terrence Long. That man must've been the biggest TLong fan in the world, and he'd bring up the subject all the freaking time, which got more and more hilarious as TLong revealed himself as a terrible baseball player. MrSeanJazz liked to blame the downward spiral of TLong's career on his missing out on the RoY award, and while I knew he was joking, sometimes I like to pretend he wasn't. Better times, they were.
- At one point, it was mentioned during the broadcast that Juan Uribe's #1 influence in his baseball career was Neifi Perez. This goes a long way towards explaning the gradual deterioration of his career, and makes for a terrific example of why managers should always keep a close eye over which players in the clubhouse are getting along. The worse a player is, the more he needs to be avoided, because suck is a virus, and no one's immune. With that in mind, a more progressive and forward-thinking organization probably would've built Jeff Weaver a separate dugout by now.
- Jose Lopez has hit 16 fly balls this year. Six of them haven't left the infield. That 37.5% IFFB% is the highest in the league. For a guy being coached a certain way, Lopez sure makes a lot of unproductive outs.
I'm starting to run out of steam, so I'm calling it a night. Try not to fret too much over the Snelling trade and revel in the glory that is seven wins in eight games. Ho vs. Matsuzaka tomorrow at 4:05pm PDT. Somehow I don't think this showdown'll be as interesting as the last one, but I've been wrong before.
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did Simms really guess 9 for Vidro??
With that said I really like Simms and he is a breath of fresh air from Rick R.
I wouldn't read much into it
I'm not sure if Sims was serious or not or if he was just keeping up with the other guys with some hyperbole.
by TIF @ Lookout Landing on May 3, 2007 2:30 AM PDT up reply actions
I think it's because
I think it's classic confirmation bias -- they think he's a patient hitter, so they remember the at bats where he battled back and saw a lot of pitches. They don't remember the first swing groudouts following a walk with the bases loaded too much.
3.5 is actually 13th worst in the AL
I'd go up there looking like Kevin Youkilis.
by Slozbury Stouvre on May 3, 2007 8:29 AM PDT up reply actions
what about the skinhead goatee?
by Bearskin Rugburn on May 3, 2007 9:09 AM PDT up reply actions
Question about Lopez
He's been pulling the ball more all year
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 8:35 AM PDT up reply actions
I thought
I'm starting to doubt if he's that much of a different hitter right now than he was at the start of last year except that he was on fire for a couple months last year. Maybe not, but at least there is a voice in my head that is doubting it now.
by Edgar for Pres on May 3, 2007 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions
I think you'll find that's the general trend.
My concern with Lopez is this: from the day he broke into the league through the end of last May, his GB/FB was 1.11. Since then, it's 1.70. That's a substantial change, and given that groundball/fly ball tendencies rarely fluctuate very much (as opposed to, say, LD% or BABIP), it speaks to a change in Lopez's approach. And since the coaching staff was all about changing Lopez's approach from the beginning of ST last year, I think it makes sense that they shoulder some of the responsibility.
by Jeff Sullivan on May 3, 2007 9:24 AM PDT up reply actions
I would agree with you
True the jump in GB
by Edgar for Pres on May 3, 2007 9:53 AM PDT up reply actions
I still have a lot
Tlong
That guy was HORRRRRRRIBLE. Mr. Sean Jazz is a douchebag.
I'm wondering
Just thinking that a guy that hits for a good average, but doesn't hit for alot of power probably won't see as many pitches as someone that does hit for power but doesn't have as good of an average. It would seem probably that a good average hitter is not going to "miss" his pitch nearly as much as a power hitter that's trying to drive the ball.
Just something I was curious about after seeing Jeff's comment.
Off the top of my head
by Jeff Sullivan on May 3, 2007 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions
Correlations for '06
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 10:07 AM PDT up reply actions
Neifi in the clubhouse
This isn't so much the cancer angle
Imagine if Sexson gave batting tips to Lopez, so that he kept grounding out weakly, but all of his good swings became strikeouts. That would suck.
If you want examples from another sport
There's a lot things that cannot be measured that affect the game. I think the best we can do is acknowledge that they do have an affect, the affect is significant, but we don't know how much.
We must also acknowledge that despite the unknown affect, there are things we can measure more specifically, that appear to remain constant regardless of the unknown affect. My personal bias is that this is true for the regular season of baseball in general. But when you get to the win or go home moments, the "unknown" matters much more, and has a greater influence.
The thing is
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 10:34 AM PDT up reply actions
Sure, over the course of a 162 game season
But what happens for that specific moment of significant importance? Like tying run in scoring position, bottom of the 9th, two outs in an elimination playoff game?
Does that player in that special moment succeed because of personality and character controlling his skill, or is it purely skill?
Would it matter that he was out drinking out all night before the game? Didn't bother to read the scouting report on the relief pitcher? Didn't study the video long enough? Would his belief in himself provide the confidence to ignore the situation's pressure and persevere?
But why would that matter?
Assume that we can just put clean numbers to these sorts of things: A talent of 5 combined with a grit of 5 does not make a player better than a talent of 15 and a grit of -5.
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions
Clarification
"How he did it doesn't really matter (or if it does, please explain why)."
Over the course of a 162 game season, it doesn't matter.
But in a specific situation, where the pressure is at the highest threshold humanly possible, it does. It's something that we have no means of measuring - at least at this time.
Talent can only be exploited as much as the mind is capable of. Even if that talent is in the form of a reflex, it's still the discipline of mind that allows the body to act.
So if the influences around you could care less about such discipline, how likely are you to work at it?
Using your numbers - A player could have a talent level 15, and during highest pressure situation in a 162 game season it shows at 15. But due to some intervening variable (say lack of confidence, laziness, lack of discipline), during a high pressure situation in the playoffs the player can only exploit a level 10 of his talent.
It comes back to the idea of the limits we put upon ourselves.
Ok, I agree with you that
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions
re: clutch
Of course, there is the possibility of being too stupid to care - which is what I think happened to Weaver in the playoffs
Your sample size is too small
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions
I figured so about the sample size.
If so, then a bad influence on a young upcoming baseball player is likely to have a negative outcome.
If Jose Lopez learns to be lazy from Soriano, eventually that laziness limits his talent potential, or causes him to lose his concentration at a critical moment.
I think we have more problems
by Graham MacAree on May 3, 2007 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions
Doesn't surprise me...
by PositivePaul on May 3, 2007 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions

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