I Guess I Should Weigh In On This
ROSTER UPDATE: Morse down to AAA to accomodate Perez. For those of you in the Tacoma area who enjoy seeing good defense at short, enjoy your complementary kick in the balls.
Here's what we know:
- Carl Everett sucks against lefties (and righties, but anyway)
- Roberto Petagine is a left-handed bat, so he doesn't make for a great alternative
- Eduardo Perez is one of the top lefty mashers in baseball, a guy I wanted to platoon with Matt Stairs back in the pre-Ibanez days. For his career, he's got an .889 OPS against southpaws; this year, it's 1.048. Used properly, he's going to hit a ton
- Adrubal Cabrera is a 20 year old in AAA
- As a teenager, Cabrera held his own in San Antonio, both at the plate and in the field
- Cabrera has a Major League-caliber glove, but his offense has deteriorated as he's climbed the ladder
- He's blocked by Jose Lopez and Yuniesky Betancourt for the next 23482734 years
Cabrera is a quality prospect - John Sickels gave him a B before the year started, and young middle infielders with offensive potential are hard to come by. His current line in Tacoma isn't very encouraging, but he's still not old enough to get himself plastered (at a bar), so you can forgive him for struggling a little bit while being pushed aggressively through the system. In short, he's a valuable player to have hanging around.
That said, he's not a blue-chipper; where Jose Lopez tore up AAA as a 20 year old, and Adam Jones is getting better by the day, Cabrera's having a devil of a time adjusting, hitting .211 with a 15/41 BB/K ratio since pitchers started finding the holes in his swing after a hot April. In rushing him to Tacoma, the Mariners wanted to find out what kind of player they had in Cabrera before the trade deadline, and by now they know that, while he's good, he's not an upper-echelon shortstop.
So they dealt him for immediate help. The middle infield is an organizational strength, so Bavasi traded from depth to shore up a weakness on the big league roster. We've known that Cabrera, like Choo, has been an obvious trade candidate for a while now, so the fact that this went down shouldn't come as that much of a shock. What's more surprising is what they got in return - an old, albeit still productive fraction of a DH. I always assumed that Cabrera would get packaged with some lower-level arms to bring in (say) a #3 starter, a bigger deal that would give the Mariners a reasonably formidable rotation. I didn't see him going straight-up for someone like Perez, a good player who should've come cheaper. In that respect, I'm a little disappointed. Cabrera's better than this.
Still, Eduardo Perez is going to help. The Mariners have been godawful against southpaws this year, with Ichiro being the only regular to post an OPS north of .772. Carl Everett's at .546. Perez instantly addresses a need, probably making the M's one or two wins better over the course of the season than they were a few hours ago. In this division, that's huge. The price was high, but sometimes a team that's playing well for the first time in years has to spend more than it wanted to to make the roster better and improve its chances of winning in the short-term. Welcome to the world of competitive baseball.
This was, of course, avoidable - had the Mariners started the year with Roberto Petagine instead of Carl Everett at DH (and maybe Mike Morse as a platoon mate, or something), they could've gotten better production out of the spot while saving the organization money and a young shortstop. Given that that didn't happen, though, and that Petagine was as likely to assume the everyday DH'ing duties as I am, this is an important move, because it gives Hargrove an easy improvement that he'll actually recognize and trust in the right situations. Everyone knows that Perez is a platoon guy, so he won't be getting any AB's against righties. His presence on the roster essentially eliminates one of the two remaining automatic outs in the lineup.
I liked Asdrubal Cabrera. Well, I like Asdrubal Cabrera, and he could be a good player for the Indians. However, he was never going to be a good player for the Mariners, not as long as Lopez and Betancourt are around, so his only value to the organization was as trade bait. Could Bavasi have done better? Almost certainly yes, but at the same time, by filling a glaring hole, he's suddenly made the team a lot better. It's not a brilliant move by any means, but it's not horrible, so I'm willing to accept it as a necessary consequence of getting to watch a winning team for the first time in forever. As for Cabrera, best of luck in Cleveland. You're a good young player, and they're a good young team. It's a good fit.
What does this mean as far as future moves are concerned? The DH slot is pretty much set, now, meaning Bavasi is unlikely to deal for a LF or another positionless bat. The only remaining obvious offensive upgrade would be in center, where Jeremy Reed looks hopeless but remains young enough to interest bad teams with good CF's. The problem is that there aren't really that many good candidates out there, with Kenny Lofton probably topping the list of "cheap and available replacements." Adam Jones is still a year away and both Choo and Snelling would be awful in center, so there aren't really any in-house solutions, meaning we're stuck with Reed or someone like Lofton for the rest of the year (barring some unforeseen blockbuster). As the only legitimately troublesome slot in the lineup, though, I'm not so sure that we absolutely have to find an upgrade.
I'm guessing that, if/when Bavasi makes more moves, they'll address the pitching side of things, as the team is in desperate need of a #5 starter and a middle reliever capable of missing bats. Joel Pineiro sucks, and outside of the big three, Mateo/Woods/Fruto/Green/Guardado are a weakness. The good news is that improvements shouldn't be too costly or difficult to find, so by all means, let the trade speculation commence.
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Pretty much my exact reaction
That being said, Pineiro and Everett should just be scrap heaped at this point. Get Snelling up here and I'd be looking at what it takes to get Jeff Weaver here.
How much for Weaver?
by kenshin1 @ Lookout Landing on Jun 30, 2006 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions
that's my point
At the min, if he makes it through waivers, meaning he'll cost ~150K, you gotta jump on a guy like that.
Am I the only one...
I mean, he's a really good player, and he can definitely help this team, but the "if" in "if he can stay healthy" is, in my mind, bigger than the "if" in "if Willie Bloomquist played every day he'd be much better, because right now he doesn't get a chance". And that's saying something.
So, yeah, bring Snelling up as soon as possible, but make damn sure there's a Plan B and C behind him, just in case...
the plan B would be to put
Plan C - Petagine.
Plan D - Choo.
The problem
If were guarenteed to stay healthy in Tacoma, and guarenteed to get hurt in Seattle, he may want to play out the rest of his career in AAA, but there are no guarentees.
When he's ready to face MLB pitching, give the kid a bat and let him do his thing. Let the rest fall out where it may.
by AnotherAaron on Jun 30, 2006 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions
I like the idea of Lofton
Anyone know how much Lofton's been playing lately?
I also like the idea of Weaver.
by WAB on Jun 30, 2006 12:04 PM PDT reply actions
NL team
by striketwo on Jun 30, 2006 12:39 PM PDT reply actions
Good guys to watch for
oooh!!! I know I know!!!!
by MT on Jun 30, 2006 12:56 PM PDT reply actions
Pineiro pretty much sucks...
you wouldn't DFA Green
I'm not sure if Joel would be any better in the pen. He has pretty much no stuff.
As a rule of thumb
by Jeff Sullivan on Jun 30, 2006 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions
Don't Underestimate
Jeremy Reed for Mike Cameron?
SD gets younger/cheaper. Reed hit well in SD, and is (or should be) a bit like Brian Giles, so they could talk about his approach.
Seattle gets a cult hero with some pop until Jones is ready in '08.
Won't happen, but it's not completely lopsided.
This makes me smile.
by TyranT on Jun 30, 2006 1:30 PM PDT reply actions
UH OHS, JAMIE AND JARROD
A little early to be that high
by Rollo Tomasi on Jun 30, 2006 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions
How much farther...
by BaltimoreMarinersFan on Jun 30, 2006 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions
Speaking of high
Nice, but mid-teens is more like it
by Shrug @ Lookout Landing on Jul 1, 2006 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions
I, too
i hope the Mariners win tonight
What if the Mariners won
Eduardo Lopez?
OOPS, my bad
According to the Injuns blog
Agreed
Agreed again
Perez is a damn good player to have on the bench...
by WAB on Jun 30, 2006 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions
Jason Johnson getting lit up in Florida
by WAB on Jun 30, 2006 5:21 PM PDT reply actions
My thoughts
This is the FO saying, "you know what, let's make this team better right now and give the chaps at Lookout Landing something to cheer for for the next few months."
Losing Cabrera does not kill the future of this team. I'm all for it, and I'm excited.

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