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Growing up, my brother and I frequently had to improvise our own forms of outdoor entertainment after getting sent outside for roughhousing. This was before either of us really got into sports, but kids are generally pretty good about keeping themselves occupied, so we usually decided to go in the backyard and throw iceplant at each other or crawl into the cylindrical trash can and roll down the street on the hill out front. Mom wasn't a big fan of these activities, but the way she figured, as long as we were outside the only things we could break were ourselves, so she lived with it until we were able to throw iceplant hard enough to hurt and we both outgrew the trash can. When that happened, we didn't really want to keep doing those things either, but by that point we'd set up a basketball hoop in the driveway that could keep us busy for hours, so Mom would keep sending us outside, and we'd keep finding ways to enjoy it. My brother and I would play one-on-one almost every day, going so far as to set up a motion-activated floodlight on the garage door so we could play in the dark. That's how it went for a few years, until we started getting into more organized sports with team practices and games at the school. And I don't know if it ever would've played out like that if Mom hadn't been so insistent on getting us out of the house as kids.

The point is that sometimes I like to write things that have absolutely nothing to do with the Mariners whatsover because just thinking about them is enough to make the vein in my forehead act up, and rambling at length about something completely irrelevant and off-topic is the only way I can calm myself down. Thinking about my childhood usually works. Nostalgia is funny like that. The problem is that it's only a temporary cure, and that when I snap out of it I slip right back into a state of bitter dissatisfaction. That's not good for me or anything near my left fist. Just ask the door to my closet.

Chart:

Biggest Contribution: Willie Ballgame, +3.1%
Biggest Suckfest: Jose Lopez, -16.8%
Most Important Hit: Bloomquist single, +2.6%
Most Important Pitch: Ellis single, -13.8%
Total Contribution by Pitcher(s): -0.2%
Total Contribution by Hitters: -59.6%

(What is this?)

The player who made our biggest positive contribution on the day is a guy who hit a single and tried to send our third baseman to the DL with a knee injury on a pop-up down the line. Of course, maybe the latter isn't such a bad thing after all, considering said third baseman has been the least valuable player on the team through the first seven games to the tune of being 13.7% worse than JJ Putz in total Win Probability Added. Knocking Adrian Beltre out of the lineup might be the quickest way to get these guys back on the winning track, although, having watched the last three games, you could probably say the same for pretty much anyone who's gone up to the plate with a bat. Except Roberto Petagine, who rocks our worlds (even if you don't know it yet).

I'm not sure which was funnier - the way Rich Harden marked his territory all over our lineup for seven innings, or the way we continually rebuffed Oakland's efforts to let us back into the game. Observe:

  • With the bases loaded and one out in the top of the fifth, and the Mariners trailing 2-0, Bobby Crosby hit a tailor-made DP ball to Adrian Beltre, who couldn't make the simple play to end the inning. A run scored, and Eric Chavez drove in another in the next at bat to double the deficit.

  • Later, in the seventh, the A's tried to tell us that Pineiro was out of gas by beating the crap out of two singles, but Hargrove decided to leave him in to face Chavez, who went deep to make it 6-0.

  • In the bottom of the eighth, Oakland pitchers suddenly lost control of the strike zone, walking two, drilling one, and allowing a hit to load the bases with the gap reduced to 6-1. With Richie Sexson standing on deck as the tying run, Raul Ibanez worked the count to full against Joe Kennedy before swinging through a fastball at his shoulders to end the inning. To make things worse, the pitch just before was way up and in, and easily would've plunked Ibanez had he not made such a remarkable effort to get out of the way and thwart his own rally. Take notes from Jose, Raul, and don't move when the ball's coming at you.

  • Finally, the enduring memory of this game has to be the bottom of the ninth, where Oakland did everything in its power to give the game away while the Mariners did everything in theirs to decline the generosity. After retiring Richie Sexson to lead off the inning, Kirk Saarloos issued a pair of walks and threw a wild pitch to put two men in scoring position. A Jeremy Reed fielder's choice left the Mariners with but one out remaining, but Saarloos made a bad pitch to a cold Kenji Johjima and then allowed a base knock to Willie freaking Ballgame to bring the tying run to the plate. Macha called for Huston Street to close things out, but after stabbing an Ichiro comebacker on a hop, Street underhanded the ball too high to first base for Swisher to make a play, allowing Ichiro to reach on what easily should've been the final out of the game. Ichiro then stole second base on Jason Kendall to put the tying run just 180 feet away, but Jose Lopez made the mistake of following that up with a groundball to the one Oakland player who actually wanted to end the game, and that was it. No miracle comeback; just another loss.
It's almost like the A's were taunting us there at the end - like they wanted to let us get just close enough to sniff the potential for victory before slamming the door shut. What's worse is that they can point to the last three games and say "the only reason you even got close in any of these is because we let you." Which isn't the kind of cocky stunt they'll be able to pull against, say, the Indians or Yankees, but which they can damn sure do against us, because what're we going to do? We can't very well throw Felix back out there again, and Richie's too busy reducing the family-friendly atmosphere of Safeco Field with strings of kid-corrupting expletives to concentrate on his hitting. The only thing that sucks more than knowing that you're worse than someone is knowing that they know it, too.

Joel Pineiro's entire gameplan is all about deception right now. After getting just eight swinging strikes in 97 pitches in his first start against the Angels, he got two - TWO - today. Joel threw 115 pitches, and Oakland hitters swing through only TWO of them. I can't even fathom that kind of hittability. By contrast, Mariner hitters swung through 17 of Harden's 100 pitches this afternoon. As Dave pointed out a few days ago, Joel's essentially a junkballer now, no longer able to throw through bats with stuff in the 90s, and it was wholly apparent today. Don't get me wrong, the fact that he was still able to rack up his share of called third strikes is nice, but I'm not the least bit convinced that this is as repeatable a skill as actually getting guys to miss. As long as Joel is pitching like this, he'll need to keep his GB/FB somewhere near 2.00 if he wants to survive the season without killed. If only we had a better idea what happened to his repertoire...

In case you were wondering, the Mariners went 27.2 innings between runs and 38 at bats between hits. If you want to take it a step further, though, they went 57 at bats between hits that didn't bounce off of Mark Kotsay's glove before hitting the ground. For the sake of comparison, back-to-back no-hitters span 54 at bats. This weekend was, without question, the worst display of offense I've seen from one team in my entire life. So it wasn't a total loss, I guess.

I don't know if you've ever actually paid close attention to an interview with Mike Hagrove, but this guy has to be the unquestioned overlord of stammering and monotonous run-on sentences. Unfortunately, today's archived MLB.tv footage doesn't include the pregame show during which Hargrove answered a few questions about the state of the team, so I can't transcribe what he said, but I don't think the guy's used a period or even a semicolon in his life. His mouth is kind of like the bus in the movie Speed, where you feel like something horrible is going to happen if it ever stops moving, so you just have to keep it in motion without the least bit of attention paid to what it's actually doing, just so long as it doesn't stop. It's no wonder the team occasionally shows up looking flat and unmotivated; they have to listen to that guy give inspirational speeches for an hour and a half before taking the field.

The Mariners are off tomorrow, which is nice, because it'll be the only day over the next week on which they aren't favored to lose.

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Well glad I missed this one.
The next 6 games are against the Cleveland and Boston?WEEEEEE!!!

Oh and to make matters worse, we get Texas and the red hot tigers after that!

WEEEEEE!!!

We all should have a bit of Willie Bloomquist in us. ~Mike Hargrove

by Goose on Apr 9, 2006 8:01 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

HARSH
The Mariners are off tomorrow, which is nice, because it'll be the only day over the next week on which they aren't favored to lose.

Wasn't it just a few short days ago we were in first place a top the AL West and had just beaten Oakland??

Man, how quickly things change.

by manyoso on Apr 9, 2006 8:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well, there's that
and there's also the fact that Cleveland and Boston are really good teams.

by Jeff on Apr 9, 2006 8:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or rather
How quickly things return to normal.

by david h on Apr 9, 2006 8:31 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey
We get to face Jason Johnson on Thursday. And he's going against Felix!

by Mariner John on Apr 9, 2006 8:33 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Swinging Strikes (Random thoughts)
Not sure what to make of it.
Yes, its clear the conclusion you can draw about the quality of a pitcher's stuff based on %SS, but is there predictative value to it I wonder?

i.e. Can Joel achieve be a LAIM with circa 4.5 ERA with that kind of %SS or is it just totally impossible like a Gil Meche inning with under 15 pitches?

It seems clear that %SS correlates to "stuff", but does %CS correlate to deception I wonder? Wouldn't you call Moyer's changeup deceptive? It sure causes a lot of missed swings.

Jeff, are you workong off your own notes on these numbers or does somebody actually track them? Seems like there's some interesting research that could be done on this. Anyone aware of it? Otherwise, I'm delving into the BIS data to see what trends I can find from 02-05 and if there's something there, I'm passing it along to ESPN to see if we can keep track.

by Matthew on Apr 9, 2006 8:44 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Re: Swinging Strikes (Random thoughts)
ESPN's pitch-by-pitch game logs keep track of whether a strike was swinging, called, or foul; I have to go in and tally them manually. I'm sure there are people who keep track of this stuff, but I don't know who they would be or where I would find the results.

Anyway, we know that strikeouts have predictive value. We also know that there are only two types of strikeouts: swinging and called. Although I don't know of any research on the subject, it certainly seems to me that swinging strikeouts would be more repeatable on a game-to-game basis than the called variety, since they strike me as a better indicator of "stuff" (which, like a batter's speed, is fairly consistent over the duration of the season).

Whatever the case may be as far as this is concerned, though, I can assure you that as long as Joel is only getting two swinging strikes a game, he's going to get hammered. That is just unacceptably low.

by Jeff on Apr 9, 2006 8:53 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, BIS data is parsed
there's a lot to sift through to see if there's anythign relevent, but for anyone curious: here are the % outcomes of all pitches broken down by year. Year,Ball,Foul,Swinging Strike,Called Strike,Grounder,Liner,Fly,totPitches 2002 38.18% 17.23% 9.40% 16.69% 8.01% 3.94% 6.56% 725058 2003 37.94% 17.10% 9.16% 17.07% 8.11% 4.21% 6.41% 723202 2004 38.08% 17.21% 9.17% 17.08% 8.17% 3.46% 6.84% 733183 2005 37.47% 17.41% 8.89% 17.29% 8.38% 3.95% 6.62% 715174 excuse me if the formatting doesn't hold up

by Matthew on Apr 9, 2006 10:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry about that, ill try to use preview more
Year,Ball,Foul,Swinging Strike,Called Strike,Grounder,Liner,Fly,pitches

2002 38.18% 17.23% 9.40% 16.69% 8.01% 3.94% 6.56% 725058

2003 37.94% 17.10% 9.16% 17.07% 8.11% 4.21% 6.41% 723202

2004 38.08% 17.21% 9.17% 17.08% 8.17% 3.46% 6.84% 733183

2005 37.47% 17.41% 8.89% 17.29% 8.38% 3.95% 6.62% 715174

excuse me if the formatting doesn't hold up

by Matthew on Apr 9, 2006 10:25 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

While I admit I am starting to
get that sick feeling in the pit of my stomach, we are only one week in.  Think positive!

by KC on Apr 9, 2006 8:47 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think Pineiro didn't actually look to bad
It seemed like he had pretty good control and was getting guys out.  If you look at the runs that he allowed, they were pretty pathetic.  The first run was legit but it was off 3 singles which isn't too bad.  The second run was nothing to be proud of because the double that scored the run.  If Beltre gets that double play we stop 2 runs from scoring.  Then Joel gives up the 2 run HR to Chavez in the 7th inning.  He was looking tired and was having more trouble locating his pitches so I agree that he should have been pulled.  I think Joel basically earned those first 2 runs that scored.  I think as long as Joel has good control and strikes people out, it doesn't really matter that people don't miss often when they swing.  He is also doing a good job of getting GB outs.  I think if he continues to pitch like this he will to good this year.  The real problem with this game was the offense.  Ichiro, Beltre, need to pick it up.

by Edgar for Pres on Apr 9, 2006 9:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Look on the bright side, Jeff
You didn't PAY MONEY to watch your team put on the worst offensive display ever.  Plus, 7-8 more consecutive losses and Mike Hargrove will probably be fired.

Given I listen to the radio postgame after almost every game, which features a portion of the Hargrove postgame press conference, I've become rather familiar with his endless stammering and stuttering.  I can only imagine what it's like when he runs out to the plate to argue a call.

Ump:  Mike, go back to the dugout.
Grover:  I-I-I-I-I-I don't think that when you saw that that that that last pitch that you you you you saw it miss low and outside, and that...
Ump:  Mike, that was strike three.
Grover:  And that that that that Richie should be on first base right now, but you clearly have n-n-n-n-n-no sense of a strike zone or well you do have a sense of a strike zone but but but but it's obviously not a major league baseball strike zone b-b-b-b-b-because here in in in in in the American League that pitch is always a ball and it was a ball last inning for Kotsay and it was a ball for Bradley and well actually i-i-i-i-it was a strike for Joel and Gulliermo just didn't frame it but but well he did frame it and you just didn't give him the benefit of the doubt that you give Kendall and I notice actually that you don't g-g-g-g-give Kenji the benefit of the doubt either, which isn't fair because he's a professional catching veteran of of of of the Japanese Leagues and understands the strike zone and- HEY, where am I?
Hassey:  I walked you back to the dugout five minutes ago.  You wanna warm somebody up?  Joel's getting tired.

by Gomez on Apr 9, 2006 10:25 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

There is some good news
Tacoma pulled an Oakland on Colorado Springs today.

9-0 and 6-0.

by Mariner John on Apr 9, 2006 11:47 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It's true.
The Mariners would be tearing up the Pacific Coast League if that's where they were playing now...
Marinerds - a different daily dose of baseblog.

by Deanna on Apr 10, 2006 12:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also, Jeff is funny.
(which was actually the original point I meant to make.  Gomez is pretty funny too.)
Marinerds - a different daily dose of baseblog.

by Deanna on Apr 10, 2006 12:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe they only suck
When I'm on Spring Break.

by Mariner John on Apr 10, 2006 1:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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