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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

John Thomson

Please welcome the guy who's about to become the newest Mariner starting pitcher.

There's nothing not to like about this deal - it's cheap, it's short (one year, 2008 option), it won't result in a lost draft pick, and it's going to an arm who's only 80.1 innings removed from a three-year stretch in which his FIP was just over 4.00. Thomson wasn't much to look at in 2006, but he was dealing with finger and shoulder issues that cut into his effectiveness. After an offseason of rest, he should be ready to go by ST, and as long as he's healthy there's no reason why he shouldn't supply the Mariners with league-average performance for a very reasonable cost. I'd say the odds are pretty good that he finishes the year with a better ERA than Gil Meche, who's going to fetch a metric assload of money.

There are no guarantees that Thomson's going to stay off the DL all year; if there were, he wouldn't be coming so cheap. Bargain players are bargains for a reason, after all. Still, Thomson looks pretty safe, and even if he tanks, the commitment is small enough that cutting our losses wouldn't be a big deal.

This is a smart move. Thomson's better than Tomo Ohka, a perfectly serviceable #4 who leaves the Mariners with only one hole in the rotation that needs to be filled. While other GM's are falling all over themselves to sign guys like Meche, Lilly, Padilla, and Eaton, Bavasi outmaneuvered them all and landed a similar pitcher for a fraction of the price. Thomson may not work out in 2007 after all, but the same goes for each of the other four; the only difference is that, were that the case, the Mariners wouldn't be on the hook for another two or three years of salary. There's minimal risk here.

John Thomson has his problems, but as far as reliable rotation filler goes, I don't know that we could've done any better with the players available. I like it.

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Since you have the insight on such things . . .
How much does the "mild fraying of the labrum" found in his July MRI worry you?

Rotator cuff problems>>>more bad than>>>> labrum problems. I can never get it straight.  

Go Fo Broke!

by eknpdx on Dec 1, 2006 2:06 PM PST reply actions  

Labrum problems are worse.
It's a bit of a concern, but it's not huge, particularly since we're only guaranteeing Thomson one season. While a torn labrum is awful, mild fraying isn't that bad, it can be managed with rest/rehab instead of surgery, and it can be pitched through without any real loss in effectiveness provided the shoulder itself isn't experiencing any pain.

by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 1, 2006 2:14 PM PST up reply actions  

All I want to know is
Where the hell was this Bavasi last year??? So far, he's having a pretty good winter.
Aici zace un om despre care nu se ştie prea mult.

by Goose on Dec 1, 2006 2:20 PM PST reply actions  

Note of caution
about this time last year we thought he was having a pretty good offseason then too. Remember, Johjima, trade for Carvajal, release of Franklin, tender of Meche.

by Matthew on Dec 1, 2006 2:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Nice Nice Nice
This is a great move.  

It is small, and isn't going to put the M's over the top.  

But this is the perfect type of deal for this offeason, and for the M's current situation.  A good, servicable guy who, hopefully, will pitch at least half a season and give the M's a shot to win half or more of the games he appears in.  Great deal.  

I was very glad to see Bavasi refrain from the idiocy that spread across baseball recently.  But I was beginning to get worried that he was going to sign two Ted Lilly types and saddle the club with a bad contract.  This is a great way to avoid that.  

Nice work Bavasi.  

by Jerry on Dec 1, 2006 2:35 PM PST reply actions  

It should also be noted
that, if the Mariners are out of contention come July and Thomson's still healthy, he's virtually guranteed of landing a B-level prospect in a trade.

by Jeff Sullivan on Dec 1, 2006 2:39 PM PST reply actions  

Yup
I was thinking the same thing too.  

Thompson is a perfect bridge for the guys in the organization already.  

Assuming that one of Campillo, Baek, or Woods wins the #5 spot, Thompson is a nice stop-gap until Feierabend or someone else emerges as a legit option.  

If the M's end up with a nice prospect out of that deal, it is even better.  

Again, nice work Bavasi.  

by Jerry on Dec 1, 2006 2:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Heh.
Or trade for Manny Ramirez.
Are we there yet?

by PositivePaul on Dec 1, 2006 2:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Wait
have we actually signed him?

by Scruffy Lefty on Dec 1, 2006 2:53 PM PST reply actions  

Not bad
Here's the 07 ZIP for him

Name          ERA   W   L   G  GS     INN    H   ER  HR   BB    K
Thomson      4.47   7   7  24  23   137.0  146   68  14   41   81

If we can get that (and have him play a full season) w/o spending 3/30+ then this is a gem of a signing, otherwise, at worst, it doesn't matter, doesn't get much better that, and those #'s are in Atlanta!

by chrisisasavage on Dec 1, 2006 3:47 PM PST reply actions  

Good signing
Serviceable starter for little money.  That's one SP.

by Gomez on Dec 1, 2006 5:15 PM PST reply actions  

Thomson
was a decent starter for the Rangers, when I lived in the DFW area.  At least he seemed to perform pretty well when on the mound.

by ppl4life on Dec 1, 2006 9:02 PM PST reply actions  

Not sure where he was classified
but the Braves declined arbitration to Thomson, so we don't lose anything by signing him if he was ranked up there.

Also, the Giants offered arby to Schmidt and the M's offered arby to Meche, while declining on Perez.

Aici zace un om despre care nu se ştie prea mult.

by Goose on Dec 1, 2006 11:44 PM PST reply actions  

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